Credit Lending

The credit card market is rapidly evolving, driven by technological advancements, economic volatility, and changing consumer behaviors. Our new 2025 State of Credit Card Report provides an in-depth analysis of the credit card landscape and strategy considerations for financial institutions. Findings include: Credit card debt reached an all-time high of $1.17 trillion in Q3 2024. About 19 million U.S. households were considered underbanked in 2023. Bot-led fraud attacks doubled from January to June 2024. Read the full report for critical insights and strategies to navigate a shifting market. Access report

We are squarely in the holiday shopping season. From the flurry of promotional emails to the endless shopping lists, there are many to-dos and even more opportunities for financial institutions at this time of year. The holiday shopping season is not just a peak period for consumer spending; it’s also a critical time for financial institutions to strategize, innovate, and drive value. According to the National Retail Federation, U.S. holiday retail sales are projected to approach $1 trillion in 2024, , and with an ever-evolving consumer behavior landscape, financial institutions need actionable strategies to stand out, secure loyalty, and drive growth during this period of heightened spending. Download our playbook: "How to prepare for the Holiday Shopping Season" Here’s how financial institutions can capitalize on the holiday shopping season, including key insights, actionable strategies, and data-backed trends. 1. Understand the holiday shopping landscape Key stats to consider: U.S. consumers spent $210 billion online during the 2022 holiday season, according to Adobe Analytics, marking a 3.5% increase from 2021. Experian data reveals that 31% of all holiday purchases in 2022 occurred in October, highlighting the extended shopping season. Cyber Week accounted for just 8% of total holiday spending, according to Experian’s Holiday Spending Trends and Insights Report, emphasizing the importance of a broad, season-long strategy. What this means for financial institutions: Timing is crucial. Your campaigns are already underway if you get an early start, and it’s critical to sustain them through December. Focus beyond Cyber Week. Develop long-term engagement strategies to capture spending throughout the season. 2. Leverage Gen Z’s growing spending power With an estimated $360 billion in disposable income, according to Bloomberg, Gen Z is a powerful force in the holiday market​. This generation values personalized, seamless experiences and is highly active online. Strategies to capture Gen Z: Offer digital-first solutions that enhance the holiday shopping journey, such as interactive portals or AI-powered customer support. Provide loyalty incentives tailored to this demographic, like cash-back rewards or exclusive access to services. Learn more about Gen Z in our State of Gen Z Report. To learn more about all generations' projected consumer spending, read new insights from Experian here, including 45% of Gen X and 52% of Boomers expect their spending to remain consistent with last year. 3. Optimize pre-holiday strategies Portfolio Review: Assess consumer behavior trends and adjust risk models to align with changing economic conditions. Identify opportunities to engage dormant accounts or offer tailored credit lines to existing customers. Actionable tactics: Expand offerings. Position your products and services with promotional campaigns targeting high-value segments. Personalize experiences. Use advanced analytics to segment clients and craft offers that resonate with their holiday needs or anticipate their possible post-holiday needs. 4. Ensure top-of-mind awareness During the holiday shopping season, competition to be the “top of wallet” is fierce. Experian’s data shows that 58% of high spenders shop evenly across the season, while 31% of average spenders do most of their shopping in December​. Strategies for success: Early engagement: Launch educational campaigns to empower credit education and identity protection during this period of increased transactions. Loyalty programs: Offer incentives, such as discounts or rewards, that encourage repeat engagement during the season. Omnichannel presence: Utilize digital, email, and event marketing to maintain visibility across platforms. 5. Combat fraud with multi-layered strategies The holiday shopping season sees an increase in fraud, with card testing being the number one attack vector in the U.S. according to Experian’s 2024 Identity and Fraud Study. Fraudulent activity such as identity theft and synthetic IDs can also escalate​. Fight tomorrow’s fraud today: Identity verification: Use advanced fraud detection tools, like Experian’s Ascend Fraud Sandbox, to validate accounts in real-time. Monitor dormant accounts: Watch these accounts with caution and assess for potential fraud risk. Strengthen cybersecurity: Implement multi-layered strategies, including behavioral analytics and artificial intelligence (AI), to reduce vulnerabilities. 6. Post-holiday follow-up: retain and manage risk Once the holiday rush is over, the focus shifts to managing potential payment stress and fostering long-term relationships. Post-holiday strategies: Debt monitoring: Keep an eye on debt-to-income and debt-to-limit ratios to identify clients at risk of defaulting. Customer support: Offer tailored assistance programs for clients showing signs of financial stress, preserving goodwill and loyalty. Fraud checks: Watch for first-party fraud and unusual return patterns, which can spike in January. 7. Anticipate consumer trends in the New Year The aftermath of the holidays often reveals deeper insights into consumer health: Rising credit balances: January often sees an uptick in outstanding balances, highlighting the need for proactive credit management. Shifts in spending behavior: According to McKinsey, consumers are increasingly cautious post-holiday, favoring savings and value-based spending. What this means for financial institutions: Align with clients’ needs for financial flexibility. The holiday shopping season is a time that demands precise planning and execution. Financial institutions can maximize their impact during this critical period by starting early, leveraging advanced analytics, and maintaining a strong focus on fraud prevention. And remember, success in the holiday season extends beyond December. Building strong relationships and managing risk ensures a smooth transition into the new year, setting the stage for continued growth. Ready to optimize your strategy? Contact us for tailored recommendations during the holiday season and beyond. Download the Holiday Shopping Season Playbook

This series will dive into our monthly State of the Economy report, providing a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for those in financial services to proactively shape their business strategies. The labor market has been a source of strength for the U.S. economy coming out of the pandemic, providing workers with stable employment and solid wages. However, the labor market has slowed in recent months, with lower-than-expected job creation and rising unemployment, causing weakening sentiment in the broader market. This has resulted in increased pressure on the Federal Reserve to begin cutting rates and places more importance on the incoming data between now and the September FOMC meeting. Data highlights from this month’s report include: Job creation declined in July, falling short of economists’ expectations. Unemployment increased from 4.1% to 4.3%. Inflation cooled again in July, with annual headline inflation easing from 3.0% to 2.9%. GDP picked up in Q2 to 2.8%, primarily driven by strong consumer spending. Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of this month’s data, including the latest trends in originations, retail sales, and the new housing market. Download August's report To have a holistic view of our current environment, it’s important to view the economy from different angles and through different lenses. Download our latest macroeconomic forecasting report for our views on what's to come in the U.S. economy and listen to our latest Econ to Action podcast. For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

In this article...Recent trends in credit card debtThe rising tide of delinquenciesWhat is credit limit optimization?Benefits of credit limit optimizationEconomic indicators and CLO ImpactEnhanced profitability and risk mitigation This post was originally published on our Global Insights Blog. As credit card issuers grow, the size of their customer base expands, bringing both opportunities and challenges. One of the most critical challenges is managing growth while controlling default rates. Credit limit optimization (CLO) has emerged as a vital tool for banks and credit lenders to achieve this balance. By leveraging machine learning models and mathematical optimization, CLO enables lenders to tailor credit limits to individual customers, enhancing profitability while mitigating risk. Recent trends in credit card debt To understand the significance of CLO, it is essential to consider the current economic landscape. The first quarter of 2024 saw total household debt in the U.S. rise by $184 billion, reaching $17.69 trillion. While credit card balances declined slightly (a reflection of seasonal factors and consumer spending patterns), they remain a substantial component of household liabilities, with total credit card debt standing at approximately $1.26 trillion in early 2024. On average, American households hold around $10,479 in credit card debt, which is down from previous years but still significant. The average APR for credit cards in the first quarter of 2024 was 21.59%.* The rising tide of delinquencies In the first quarter of 2024, about 8.9% (annualized) of credit card balances transitioned into delinquency. This trend underscores the need for credit card issuers to adopt more sophisticated methods to assess credit risk and adjust credit limits accordingly. The rising rate of credit card delinquencies is a key driver behind the adoption of CLO strategies. What is credit limit optimization? Credit limit optimization uses advanced analytics to assess individual customers’ creditworthiness. By analyzing various data points, including payment history, income levels, spending patterns, and economic indicators, these tools can recommend optimal credit limits that maximize customer spending potential while minimizing the risk of default, all within the constraints set by the business in terms of its appetite for risk and capacity. For instance, a customer with a strong payment history and stable income might receive a higher credit limit, encouraging more spending and enhancing the lender’s revenue through interest and interchange fees. Conversely, customers showing signs of financial stress might see their credit limit reduced to prevent them from accumulating unmanageable debt. Benefits of credit limit optimization Improved profitability – By setting credit limits reflecting customers’ credit risk and spending potential, lenders can increase their revenue through higher interest and fee income. Reduced default rates – Lenders can significantly reduce the incidence of bad debt by identifying customers at risk of default and adjusting their credit limits accordingly. Improved customer satisfaction – Personalized credit limits can improve customer satisfaction, as customers are more likely to receive credit that matches their needs and financial situation. Regulatory compliance – CLO can help lenders comply with regulatory requirements by ensuring that credit limits are set based on objective, data-driven criteria. Economic indicators and CLO Impact Several economic indicators provide context for the importance of CLO in the current market. For instance, the Federal Reserve reported that in 2023, fewer than half of adult credit cardholders carried a balance on their cards, down from previous years. This indicates a more cautious approach to credit use among consumers, likely influenced by economic uncertainty and rising interest rates. Moreover, the disparity in credit card debt across different states highlights the varying economic conditions and the need for tailored credit strategies. States like New Jersey have some of the highest average credit card debts, while states like Mississippi have the lowest. This regional variation underscores lenders’ need to adopt flexible, data-driven approaches to credit limit setting. Enhanced profitability and risk mitigation Credit limit optimization is critical for credit card issuers aiming to balance growth and risk management. As economic conditions evolve and consumer behaviors shift, the ability to set personalized credit limits will become increasingly important. By leveraging advanced analytics and machine learning, CLO enhances profitability and contributes to a more stable and resilient financial system. One such solution is Experian’s Ascend Intelligence Services™ Limit, which provides an optimized strategy designed to enhance the precision and effectiveness of credit limit assignments. Ascend Intelligence Services™ Limit combines best-in-class bureau data with machine learning to simulate the impact of different credit limits in real time. This capability allows lenders to quickly test and refine their credit limit strategies without the lengthy trial-and-error period traditionally required. Ascend Intelligence Services Limit enables lenders to set credit limits that align with their business objectives and risk tolerance. By providing insights into the likelihood of default and potential revenue for each credit limit scenario, Ascend Intelligence Services Limit helps design optimal limit strategies. This not only maximizes revenue but also minimizes the risk of defaults by ensuring credit limits are appropriate for each customer’s financial situation. In a landscape marked by rising delinquencies and varying regional debt levels, the strategic use of CLO like Ascend Intelligence Services Limit represents a forward-thinking approach to credit management, benefiting both lenders and consumers. Learn More * HOUSEHOLD DEBT AND CREDIT REPORT (Q1 2024) – Federal Reserve Bank of New York

In this article...What is credit card fraud?Types of credit card fraudWhat is credit card fraud prevention and detection?How Experian® can help with card fraud prevention and detection With debit and credit card transactions becoming more prevalent than cash payments in today’s digital-first world, card fraud has become a significant concern for organizations. Widespread usage has created ample opportunities for cybercriminals to engage in credit card fraud. As a result, millions of Americans fall victim to credit card fraud annually, with 52 million cases reported last year alone.1 Preventing and detecting credit card fraud can save organizations from costly losses and protect their customers and reputations. This article provides an overview of credit card fraud detection, focusing on the current trends, types of fraud, and detection and prevention solutions. What is credit card fraud? Credit card fraud involves the unauthorized use of a credit card to obtain goods, services or funds. It's a crime that affects individuals and businesses alike, leading to financial losses and compromised personal information. Understanding the various forms of credit card fraud is essential for developing effective prevention strategies. Types of credit card fraud Understanding the different types of credit card fraud can help in developing targeted prevention strategies. Common types of credit card fraud include: Card not present fraud occurs when the physical card is not present during the transaction, commonly seen in online or over-the-phone purchases. In 2023, card not present fraud was estimated to account for $9.49 billion in losses.2 Account takeover fraud involves fraudsters gaining access to a victim's account to make unauthorized transactions. In 2023, account takeover attacks increased 354% year-over-year, resulting in almost $13 billion in losses.3,4 Card skimming, which is estimated to cost consumers and financial institutions over $1 billion per year, occurs when fraudsters use devices to capture card information from ATMs or point-of-sale terminals.5 Phishing scams trick victims into providing their card information through fake emails, texts or websites. What is credit card fraud prevention and detection? To combat the rise in credit card fraud effectively, organizations must implement credit card fraud prevention strategies that involve a combination of solutions and technologies designed to identify and stop fraudulent activities. Effective fraud prevention solutions can help businesses minimize losses and protect their customers' information. Common credit card fraud prevention and detection methods include: Fraud monitoring systems: Banks and financial institutions employ sophisticated algorithms and artificial intelligence to monitor transactions in real time. These systems analyze spending patterns, locations, transaction amounts, and other variables to detect suspicious activity. EMV chip technology: EMV (Europay, Mastercard, and Visa) chip cards contain embedded microchips that generate unique transaction codes for each purchase. This makes it more difficult for fraudsters to create counterfeit cards. Tokenization: Tokenization replaces sensitive card information with a unique identifier or token. This token can be used for transactions without exposing actual card details, reducing the risk of fraud if data is intercepted. Multifactor authentication (MFA): Adding an extra layer of security beyond the card number and PIN, MFA requires additional verification such as a one-time code sent to a mobile device, knowledge-based authentication or biometric/document confirmation. Transaction alerts: Many banks offer alerts via SMS or email for every credit card transaction. This allows cardholders to spot unauthorized transactions quickly and report them to their bank. Card verification value (CVV): CVV codes, typically three-digit numbers printed on the back of cards (four digits for American Express), are used to verify that the person making an online or telephone purchase physically possesses the card. Machine learning and AI: Advanced algorithms can analyze large datasets to detect unusual patterns that may indicate fraud, such as sudden large transactions or purchases made in different geographic locations within a short time frame. Advanced algorithms can analyze large datasets to detect unusual patterns that may indicate fraud, such as sudden large transactions or purchases made in different geographic locations within a short time frame. Behavioral analytics: Monitoring user behavior to detect anomalies that may indicate fraud. Education and awareness: Educating consumers about phishing scams, identity theft, and safe online shopping practices can help reduce the likelihood of falling victim to credit card fraud. Fraud investigation units: Financial institutions have teams dedicated to investigating suspicious transactions reported by customers. These units work to confirm fraud, mitigate losses, and prevent future incidents. How Experian® can help with card fraud prevention and detection Credit card fraud detection is essential for protecting businesses and customers. By implementing advanced detection technologies, businesses can create a robust defense against fraudsters. Experian® offers advanced fraud management solutions that leverage identity protection, machine learning, and advanced analytics. Partnering with Experian can provide your business with: Comprehensive fraud management solutions: Experian’s fraud management solutions provide a robust suite of tools to prevent, detect and manage fraud risk and identity verification effectively.  Account takeover prevention: Experian uses sophisticated analytics and enhanced decision-making capabilities to help businesses drive successful transactions by monitoring identity and flagging unusual activities. Identifying card not present fraud: Experian offers tools specifically designed to detect and prevent card not present fraud, ensuring secure online transactions.  Take your fraud prevention strategies to the next level with Experian's comprehensive solutions. Explore more about how Experian can help. Learn More Sources 1 https://www.security.org/digital-safety/credit-card-fraud-report/ 2 https://www.emarketer.com/chart/258923/us-total-card-not-present-cnp-fraud-loss-2019-2024-billions-change-of-total-card-payment-fraud-loss 3 https://pages.sift.com/rs/526-PCC-974/images/Sift-2023-Q3-Index-Report_ATO.pdf 4 https://www.aarp.org/money/scams-fraud/info-2024/identity-fraud-report.html 5 https://www.fbi.gov/how-we-can-help-you/scams-and-safety/common-scams-and-crimes/skimming This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information. 

Getting customers to respond to your credit offers can be difficult. With the advent of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML), optimizing credit prescreen campaigns has never been easier or more efficient. In this post, we'll explore the basics of prescreen and how AI and ML can enhance your strategy.  What is prescreen?  Prescreen involves evaluating potential customers to determine their eligibility for credit offers. This process takes place without the consumer’s knowledge and without any negative impact on their credit score.  Why optimize your prescreen strategy?  In today's financial landscape, having an optimized prescreen strategy is crucial. Some reasons include:  Increased competition: Financial institutions face stiff competition in acquiring new customers. An optimized prescreen strategy helps you stand out by targeting the right individuals with tailored offers, increasing the chances of conversion.  Customer expectations: Modern customers expect personalized and relevant offers. An effective prescreen strategy ensures that your offers resonate with the specific needs and preferences of potential customers.  Strict budgets: Organizations today are faced with a limited marketing budget. By determining the right consumers for your offers, you can minimize prescreen costs and maximize the ROI of your campaigns.  Regulatory compliance: Compliance with regulations such as the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA) is essential. An optimized prescreen strategy helps you stay compliant by ensuring that only eligible individuals are targeted for credit offers.  Financial inclusion: 49 million American adults don’t have conventional credit scores. An optimized prescreen strategy allows you to send offers to creditworthy consumers who you may have missed due to a lack of traditional credit history.  How AI and ML can enhance your strategy  AI and ML can revolutionize your prescreen strategy by offering advanced analytics and custom response modeling capabilities.  AI-driven data analytics  AI analytics allow financial institutions to analyze vast amounts of data quickly and accurately. This enables you to identify patterns and trends that may not be apparent through traditional analysis. By leveraging data-centric AI, you can gain deeper insights into customer behavior and preferences, allowing for more precise targeting and increased response rates.  LEARN MORE: Explore the benefits of AI for credit unions.  Custom response modeling  Custom response models enable you to better identify individuals who fall within your credit criteria and are more likely to respond to your credit offers. These models consider various factors such as credit history, spending habits, and demographic information to predict future behavior. By incorporating custom response models into your prescreen strategy, you can select the best consumers to engage, including those you may have previously overlooked.  LEARN MORE: AI can be leveraged for numerous business needs. Learn about generative AI fraud detection.   Get started today  Incorporating AI and ML into your prescreen campaigns can significantly enhance their effectiveness and efficiency. By leveraging Experian's Ascend Intelligence Services™ Target, you can better target potential customers and maximize your marketing spend.   Our optimized prescreen solution leverages:  Full-file credit bureau data on over 245 million consumers and over 2,100 industry-leading credit attributes.  Exclusive access to the industry's largest alternative datasets from nontraditional lenders, rental data inputs, full-file public records, and more.  24 months of trended data showing payment patterns over time and over 2,000 attributes that help determine your next best action.  When it comes to compliance, Experian leverages decades of regulatory experience to provide the documentation needed to explain lending practices to regulators. We use patent-pending ML explainability to understand what contributed most to a decision and generate adverse action codes directly from the model.  For more insights into Ascend Intelligence Services Target, view our infographic or contact us at 855 339 3990. View infographic This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information. 

This series will dive into our monthly State of the Economy report, providing a snapshot of the top monthly economic and credit data for those in financial services to proactively shape their business strategies. While much of the economic data released this month remained steady, including continued downward progress in inflation and resilience in inflation-adjusted spending, June was a pivotal month for the labor market. With downward revisions to job creation over the past few months to an up-tick in unemployment, the potential for a sooner-than-expected rate cut increased. Data highlights from this month’s report include: While above economists’ expectations in June, job creation was 111,000 jobs shy of what was recorded in April and May, signaling some slowdown in the labor market. Inflation-adjusted spending and incomes increased in May, by 0.3% and 0.5%, respectively. Inflation eased more than economists expected, with annual headline inflation cooling from 3.3% to 3.0%. Check out our report for a deep dive into the rest of this month’s data, including the latest trends in job openings, new business survival rates, and bankcard delinquency rates. Download July's report  To have a holistic view of our current environment, it’s important to view the economy from different angles and through different lenses. Watch our experts discuss the latest economic and credit trends in the next macroeconomic forecasting webinar and listen to our latest Econ to Action podcast. For more economic trends and market insights, visit Experian Edge.

In this article...What is fair lending?Understanding machine learning modelsThe pitfalls: bias and fairness in ML modelsFairness metricsRegulatory frameworks and complianceHow Experian® can help As the financial sector continues to embrace technological innovations, machine learning models are becoming indispensable tools for credit decisioning. These models offer enhanced efficiency and predictive power, but they also introduce new challenges. These challenges particularly concern fairness and bias, as complex machine learning models can be difficult to explain. Understanding how to ensure fair lending practices while leveraging machine learning models is crucial for organizations committed to ethical and compliant operations. What is fair lending? Fair lending is a cornerstone of ethical financial practices, prohibiting discrimination based on race, color, national origin, religion, sex, familial status, age, disability, or public assistance status during the lending process. This principle is enshrined in regulations such as the Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA) and the Fair Housing Act (FHA). Overall, fair lending is essential for promoting economic opportunity, preventing discrimination, and fostering financial inclusion. Key components of fair lending include: Equal treatment: Lenders must treat all applicants fairly and consistently throughout the lending process, regardless of their personal characteristics. This means evaluating applicants based on their creditworthiness and financial qualifications rather than discriminatory factors. Non-discrimination: Lenders are prohibited from discriminating against individuals or businesses on the basis of race, color, religion, national origin, sex, marital status, age, or other protected characteristics. Discriminatory practices include redlining (denying credit to applicants based on their location) and steering (channeling applicants into less favorable loan products based on discriminatory factors). Fair credit practices: Lenders must adhere to fair and transparent credit practices, such as providing clear information about loan terms and conditions, offering reasonable interest rates, and ensuring that borrowers have the ability to repay their loans. Compliance: Financial institutions are required to comply with fair lending laws and regulations, which are enforced by government agencies such as the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) in the United States. Compliance efforts include conducting fair lending risk assessments, monitoring lending practices for potential discrimination, and implementing policies and procedures to prevent unfair treatment. Model governance: Financial institutions should establish robust governance frameworks to oversee the development, implementation and monitoring of lending models and algorithms. This includes ensuring that models are fair, transparent, and free from biases that could lead to discriminatory outcomes. Data integrity and privacy: Lenders must ensure the accuracy, completeness, and integrity of the data used in lending decisions, including traditional credit and alternative credit data. They should also uphold borrowers’ privacy rights and adhere to data protection regulations when collecting, storing, and using personal information. Understanding machine learning models and their application in lending Machine learning in lending has revolutionized how financial institutions assess creditworthiness and manage risk. By analyzing vast amounts of data, machine learning models can identify patterns and trends that traditional methods might overlook, thereby enabling more accurate and efficient lending decisions. However, with these advancements come new challenges, particularly in the realms of model risk management and financial regulatory compliance. The complexity of machine learning models requires rigorous evaluation to ensure fair lending. Let’s explore why. The pitfalls: bias and fairness in machine learning lending models Despite their advantages, machine learning models can inadvertently introduce or perpetuate biases, especially when trained on historical data that reflects past prejudices. One of the primary concerns with machine learning models is their potential lack of transparency, often referred to as the "black box" problem. Model explainability aims to address this by providing clear and understandable explanations of how models make decisions. This transparency is crucial for building trust with consumers and regulators and for ensuring that lending practices are fair and non-discriminatory. Fairness metrics Key metrics used to evaluate fairness in models can include standardized mean difference (SMD), information value (IV), and disparate impact (DI). Each of these metrics offers insights into potential biases but also has limitations. Standardized mean difference (SMD). SMD quantifies the difference between two groups' score averages, divided by the pooled standard deviation. However, this metric may not fully capture the nuances of fairness when used in isolation. Information value (IV). IV compares distributions between control and protected groups across score bins. While useful, IV can sometimes mask deeper biases present in the data. Disparate impact (DI). DI, or the adverse impact ratio (AIR), measures the ratio of approval rates between protected and control classes. Although DI is widely used, it can oversimplify the complex interplay of factors influencing credit decisions. Regulatory frameworks and compliance in fair lending Ensuring compliance with fair lending regulations involves more than just implementing fairness metrics. It requires a comprehensive end-to-end approach, including regular audits, transparent reporting, and continuous monitoring and governance of machine learning models. Financial institutions must be vigilant in aligning their practices with regulatory standards to avoid legal repercussions and maintain ethical standards. Read more: Journey of a machine learning model How Experian® can help By remaining committed to regulatory compliance and fair lending practices, organizations can balance technological advancements with ethical responsibility. Partnering with Experian gives organizations a unique advantage in the rapidly evolving landscape of AI and machine learning in lending. As an industry leader, Experian offers state-of-the-art analytics and machine learning solutions that are designed to drive efficiency and accuracy in lending decisions while ensuring compliance with regulatory standards. Our expertise in model risk management and machine learning model governance empowers lenders to deploy robust and transparent models, mitigating potential biases and aligning with fair lending practices. When it comes to machine learning model explainability, Experian’s clear and proven methodology assesses the relative contribution and level of influence of each variable to the overall score — enabling organizations to demonstrate transparency and fair treatment to auditors, regulators, and customers. Interested in learning more about ensuring fair lending practices in your machine learning models?    Learn More This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

“Learn how to learn.” One of Zack Kass’, AI futurist and one of the keynote speakers at Vision 2024, takeaways readily embodies a sentiment most of us share — particularly here at Vision. Jennifer Schulz, CEO of Experian, North America, talked about AI and transformative technologies of past and present as she kicked off Vision 2024, the 40th Vision. Keynote speaker: Dr. Mohamed El-Erian Dr. Mohamed El-Erian, President of Queens’ College, Cambridge and Chief Economic Advisor at Allianz, returned to the Vision stage to discuss the labor market, “sticky” inflation and the health of consumers. He emphasized the need to embrace and learn how to talk to AI engines and that AI can facilitate content, creation, collaboration and community Keynote speaker: Zack Kass Zack Kass, AI futurist and former Head of Go-To-Market at OpenAI, spoke about the future of work and life and artificial general intelligence. He said AI is aiding in our entering of a superlinear trajectory and compared the thresholds of technology versus those of society. Sessions – Day 1 highlights The conference hall was buzzing with conversations, discussions and thought leadership. Some themes definitely rose to the top — the increasing proliferation of fraud and how to combat it without diminishing the customer experience, leveraging AI and transformative technology in decisioning and how Experian is pioneering the GenAI era in finance and technology. Transformative technologiesAI and emerging technologies are reshaping the finance sector and it's the responsibility of today's industry leaders to equip themselves with cutting-edge strategies and a comprehensive understanding to master the rapidly evolving landscape. That said, transformation is a journey and aligning with a partner that's agile and innovative is critical. Holistic fraud decisioningGenerative AI, a resurgence of bank branch transactions, synthetic identity and pig butchering are all fraud trends that today's organizations must be acutely aware of and armed to protect their businesses and customers against. Leveraging a holistic fraud decisioning strategy is important in finding the balance between customer experience and mitigating fraud. Unlocking cashflow to grow, protect and reduce riskCash flow data can be used not only across the lending lifecycle, but also as part of assessing existing portfolio opportunities. Incorporating consumer-permissioned data into models and processes powers predicatbility and can further assess risk and help score more consumers. Navigating the economyAmid a slowing economy, consumers and businesses continue to struggle with higher interest rates, tighter credit conditions and rising delinquencies, creating a challenging environment for lenders. Experian's experts outlined their latest economic forecasts and provided actionable insights into key consumer and commercial credit trends. More insights from Vision to come. Follow @ExperianVision and @ExperianInsights to see more of the action.

With e-commerce booming and more transactions occurring online, the threat of chargeback fraud has never been more significant. In this article, we'll explore chargeback fraud, why it's a growing problem, and, most importantly, how to prevent it. Whether you're a small or large business, understanding and implementing robust chargeback fraud prevention measures is critical to protecting your organization. Understanding chargeback fraud Before we can prevent chargeback fraud, we need to know what we're dealing with. A chargeback happens when a cardholder disputes a transaction, or files a chargeback request, leading to the reversal of the payment to the merchant. Chargebacks can occur for various reasons including: Fraudulent transactions: If a card is stolen or its information is used without authorization, like in the case of account takeover fraud or card not present fraud, the cardholder can dispute the charges. Unauthorized transactions: Even if the cardholder didn't lose their card, they might notice charges they didn't make. Quality issues: If the product or service doesn't meet the cardholder's expectations or has a defect, they might dispute the charge. Billing errors: Sometimes, billing mistakes happen, such as being charged multiple times for the same transaction. Subscription cancellations: When a cardholder cancels a subscription but continues to be billed they can dispute the charges. While there are legitimate reasons for chargebacks, chargeback fraud, also known as friendly fraud, occurs when a customer makes a legitimate purchase with their credit card and then disputes the charge by filing a chargeback request. Unlike third-party fraud, where the cardholder's information is stolen or used without permission, in chargeback fraud, the cardholder initiates the dispute to avoid paying for goods or services they legitimately received. Chargeback fraud can take various forms: False claims of non-receipt: The cardholder claims they never received the purchased item, even though they did. Unauthorized transaction claims: The cardholder denies making the purchase, even though they did so legitimately. Product/service dissatisfaction: The cardholder claims dissatisfaction with the product or service as a reason for disputing the charge, even if the product or service was as described. Subscription services: The cardholder signs up for a subscription service and then disputes the recurring charges as unauthorized or unwanted. Why chargeback fraud is on the rise Chargeback fraud is becoming more pervasive for a couple of reasons. First, as e-commerce grows, so does the opportunity for fraud. Without face-to-face interactions, fraudsters can pull off their schemes more easily. Second, the process of issuing chargebacks has become consumer-friendly, with banks often siding with the cardholder without deep scrutiny of the claim. Finally, with the rise of subscription-based services and digital goods, the incidence of "friendly fraud" is increasing. The impact and repercussions of chargeback fraud The impact of chargeback fraud can be felt across several areas within a business. Financially, it's a clear and direct loss. There are also significant operational costs associated with managing chargebacks, including potential product loss, bank and related fees, and administrative work. However, the less tangible, more insidious repercussions involve damage to the business's reputation. A high chargeback rate can lead to a merchant account being suspended or terminated, causing a loss of the ability to process credit card payments. A tarnished reputation can further lead to losing consumer trust, which can be hard to regain. How to prevent chargeback fraud Preventing and managing chargeback fraud often involves implementing fraud prevention solutions, providing clear communication and customer support, and disputing illegitimate chargebacks with evidence when possible. Here are key actions you can take to protect your business against chargeback fraud: Educate and communicate with customers: Ensure your customers are fully aware of your return and refund policies. Be clear and transparent in your communications about what happens in the event of a disputed transaction. This can significantly reduce misunderstandings that often lead to legitimate chargebacks. Implement stringent transaction verification processes: Utilize Address Verification Services (AVS) and Card Verification Value (CVV2) verification for online and over-the-phone transactions. These credit card authentication services add an extra layer of security and can establish the validity of a purchase. Keep meticulous records: Document all transactions, including emails, phone calls, and any other purchase-related correspondence. In the event of a dispute, these records can serve as compelling evidence to defend the transaction. Immediate shipment and tracking: Ship products as quickly as possible after purchase and provide tracking information to customers. This delights customers and provides tangible proof of delivery should a chargeback be disputed. Utilize advanced fraud detection tools: Many fraud detection services are available that can instantly flag potentially fraudulent transactions, from monitoring for suspicious spending patterns to IP tracking for online orders. Examples include: Tokenization: Tokenization replaces sensitive card data with a "token," a random string of characters that is useless to fraudsters. This token can be stored or transmitted easily, with the actual payment information securely kept off-site. Machine learning and AI: Machine learning and AI fraud detection solutions can analyze vast amounts of transaction data to detect patterns and anomalies, thus flagging potentially fraudulent activity in real-time. The role of customer support in chargeback prevention While the above tools can help your organization prevent fraudulent charge backs, you likely already have a key tool in your company that can help mitigate chargebacks altogether. Your customer support team is your front line in chargeback prevention. Train them to handle customer inquiries effectively and resolve issues before they escalate. Offer multiple contact channels: Give customers several ways to reach your support team, such as email, phone, and live chat. The more easily they can contact you, the less likely they are to resort to a chargeback. Ensure prompt and courteous service: A positive and responsive customer service experience can turn a potential chargeback into a loyalty-building opportunity. Make refunds and returns as easy as possible for your customers. Additionally, clear and generous policies will reduce dissatisfaction and the likelihood of chargebacks. How Experian can help with chargeback fraud prevention Chargeback fraud can be a daunting prospect for any business, but with the right strategies in place, you can protect your business, your customers and your bottom line. Experian’s fraud management solutions provide robust verification options and layered risk management to help reduce the risk of chargeback fraud. Our advanced fraud detection solutions leverage machine learning algorithms and behavioral analytics to confirm the identity of customers during transactions, identify suspicious patterns and activities, and offer deeper insights that enhance fraud prevention strategies. These solutions can help detect potential instances of chargeback fraud in real-time or during post-transaction analysis. Learn More *This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

In the dynamic consumer credit landscape, understanding emerging trends is paramount for fintechs to thrive. Experian's latest fintech trends report provides deep insights into the evolving market, shedding light on crucial areas such as origination volumes, average loan balances, and delinquency trends. Let's delve into some key findings and their implications for fintech lenders. Fintech lending origination volume trends The report reveals intriguing shifts in origination volumes for unsecured personal loans and credit cards. While overall origination amounts dipped, fintechs experienced a notable decrease, signaling potential challenges in funding availability and economic uncertainties. Despite this, the total origination volume for fintechs remains robust, underlining their continued significance in the market. Fintech market share versus traditional lenders Fintechs, known for their agility and digital prowess, witnessed fluctuations in market share, particularly in the unsecured personal loan segment. While digital loans continue to drive a significant portion of originations, there's a discernible shift in market dynamics, urging fintech lenders to explore diversification strategies, including expanding into credit card offerings. Fintech lending average loan balance trends Amidst changing economic landscapes, average loan balances for both unsecured personal loans and credit cards exhibited intriguing patterns. Fintech lenders, although maintaining a competitive edge in average balances, face the challenge of balancing risk and profitability, especially amidst rising delinquency levels. Fintech lending delinquency trends One of the most critical aspects highlighted in the report is the uptick in delinquency levels for unsecured personal loans and credit cards. While fintechs navigate through economic uncertainties, there's a growing imperative to enhance risk management strategies and focus on prime and above credit tiers to mitigate potential risks. Understanding the digital borrower As digital borrowing continues to gain prominence, it's essential for fintechs to grasp the nuances of the digital borrower. With millennials emerging as key players in the digital lending landscape, fintechs must tailor their offerings to cater to the unique preferences and behaviors of this demographic segment. Looking ahead to 2024 for fintech lenders As we look to the future, data-driven decision-making and strategic portfolio management are more important than ever for fintechs. With economic uncertainties still in the mix, fintechs must leverage data and analytics to fuel growth while safeguarding against potential risks. Experian's fintech trends report serves as a guiding beacon, equipping fintechs with the knowledge and strategies needed to navigate through uncertainties and unlock opportunities for sustainable growth. The report offers actionable insights, including the imperative to conduct periodic portfolio reviews, retool data analytics and models, and remodel lending criteria to stay ahead in the competitive landscape. Learn more about our fintech solutions and how we can work together to drive profitable growth for your company. Learn more Download the report About the report: Experian's Fintech Trends Report 2024 offers a comprehensive analysis of credit trends, leveraging data from January 2019 to November 2023. The report provides valuable insights into the evolving landscape of unsecured personal loans and credit cards, empowering fintechs with actionable intelligence to thrive in a competitive market environment.

Open banking is revolutionizing the financial services industry by encouraging a shift from a closed model to one with greater transparency, competition, and innovation. But what does this mean for financial institutions, and how can you adapt to this new landscape, balancing opportunity against risk? In this article, we will define open banking, illustrate how it operates, and weigh the challenges and benefits for financial institutions. What is open banking? Open banking stands at the forefront of financial innovation, embodying a shift toward a more inclusive, transparent, and consumer-empowered system. At its core, open banking relies on a simple yet powerful premise: it uses consumer-permissioned data to create a networked banking ecosystem that benefits both financial institutions and consumers alike.  By having secure, standardized access to consumer financial data — granted willingly by the customers themselves — lenders can gain incredibly accurate insights into consumer behavior, enabling them to personalize services and offers like never before. How does open banking work? Open banking is driven by Application Programming Interfaces (APIs), which are sets of protocols that allow different software components to communicate with each other and share data seamlessly and securely. In the context of open banking, these APIs enable: Account Information Services (AIS): These services allow third-party providers (TPPs) to access account information from financial institutions (with customer consent) to provide budgeting and financial planning services. Payment Initiation Services (PIS): These services permit TPPs to initiate payments on behalf of customers, often offering alternative, faster, or cheaper payment solutions compared to traditional banking methods. Financial institutions must develop and maintain robust and secure APIs that TPPs can integrate with. This requires significant investment in technology and cybersecurity to protect customer data and financial assets. There must also be clear customer consent procedures and data-sharing agreements between financial institutions and TPPs. Benefits of open banking Open banking is poised to create a wave of innovation in the financial sector. One of the most significant benefits is the ability to gain a more comprehensive view of a consumer’s financial situation. With a deeper view of consumer cashflow data and access to actionable insights, you can improve your underwriting strategy, optimize account management and make smarter decisions to safely grow your portfolio.  Additionally, open banking promotes financial inclusion by enabling financial institutions to offer more tailored products that suit the needs of previously underserved or unbanked populations. This inclusivity can help bridge the gap in financial services, making them accessible to a broader segment of the population. Furthermore, open banking fosters competition among financial institutions and fintech companies, leading to the development of better products, services, and competitive pricing. This competitive environment not only benefits consumers but also challenges banks to innovate, improve their services, and operate more efficiently. The collaborative nature of open banking encourages an ecosystem where traditional banks and fintech startups co-create innovative open banking solutions. This synergy can accelerate the pace of digital transformation within the banking sector, leading to the development of cutting-edge technologies and platforms that address specific market gaps or consumer demands.  Challenges of open banking While open banking presents a plethora of opportunities, its adoption is not without challenges. Financial institutions must grapple with several hurdles to fully leverage the benefits open banking offers. One of the most significant challenges is fraud detection in banking and ensuring data security and privacy. The sharing of financial data through APIs necessitates robust cybersecurity measures to protect sensitive information from breaches and fraud. Banks and TPPs alike must invest in advanced security technologies and protocols to safeguard customer data. Additionally, regulatory compliance poses a considerable challenge. Open banking regulations vary widely across different jurisdictions, requiring banks to adapt their operations to comply with diverse legal frameworks. Staying abreast of evolving regulations and ensuring compliance can be resource-intensive and complex. Furthermore, customer trust and awareness are crucial to the success of open banking. Many consumers are hesitant to share their financial data due to privacy concerns. Educating customers on the benefits of open banking and the measures taken to ensure their data’s security is essential to overcoming this obstacle. Despite these challenges, the strategic implementation of open banking can unlock remarkable opportunities for innovation, efficiency, and service enhancement in the financial sector. Banks that can successfully navigate these hurdles and capitalize on the advantages of open banking are likely to emerge as leaders in the new era of financial services. Our open banking strategy Our newly introduced open banking solution, Cashflow Attributes, powered by Experian’s proprietary data from millions of U.S. consumers, offers unrivaled categorization and valuable consumer insights. The combination of credit and cashflow data empowers lenders with a deeper understanding of consumers. Furthermore, it harnesses our advanced capabilities to categorize 99% of transaction Demand Deposit Account (DDA) and credit card data, guaranteeing dependable inputs for robust risk assessment, targeted marketing and proactive fraud detection.  Watch open banking webinar Learn more about Cashflow Attributes

In the previous episode of “The Chrisman Commentary” podcast, Joy Mina, Director of Product Commercialization at Experian, talked about the benefits of a waterfall strategy for income and employment verification. In the latest episode, Joy explores common misconceptions around verifications, such as how a lender needs to put a provider with the most records first in their waterfall. "While that might feel like a sure-fire way to cut costs, it isn't necessarily the most effective," said Joy. "Instead of comparing records, I would really encourage lenders to focus on a provider's total cost to verify a consumer." Listen to the full episode to learn about more misconceptions associated with verifications and what you can do to enhance your strategies. Listen to podcast  Learn more

For lenders, first payment default (FPD) is more than just financial jargon; it's a crucial metric in assessing credit risk. This blog post will walk you through the essentials of FPD,  from defining the term to exploring how you can prevent and mitigate its potential impact. Understanding first payment default FPD occurs when a consumer fails to make their initial payment on a loan or credit agreement, which is often perceived as an early signal of a potential cascade of risky behavior. Recognizing FPD is the starting point for lenders to address potential issues with new borrowers before they escalate. One important aspect to grasp is the timeline of FPD. It’s not just about missing the first payment; it's about "early" missing. The timing of defaults is often critical in assessing the overall risk profile of a borrower or group of borrowers. The earlier a borrower starts to miss payments, the riskier they tend to be. Examining the causes of FPD The roots of FPD are diverse and can be classified into two broad categories: External factors: These include sudden financial crises, changes in employment status, or unforeseen expenses. Such factors are often beyond the borrower's immediate control. Internal factors: This category covers more deliberate or chronic financial habits, such as overspending, lack of savings, or overleveraging on credit. It's often indicative of longer-term financial instability. Understanding the causes of early payment default is the first step in effective risk management and customer engagement strategies. Implications of FPD for lenders FPD doesn't just signal immediate financial loss for lenders in terms of the missed installment. It sets off a cascade of consequences that affect the bottom line and the reputation of the institution. Financial loss. Lenders incur direct financial losses when a payment is missed, but the implications go beyond the missed payment amount. There are immediate costs associated with servicing, collections, and customer support. In the longer term, repeated defaults can lead to write-offs, impacting the institution's profitability and regulatory standing. Regulatory scrutiny. Repeated instances of FPD can also draw the attention of regulators, leading to scrutiny and potentially increased compliance costs. Mitigating first payment default Mitigating FPD requires a multifaceted approach that blends data, advanced analytics, customer engagement, and agile risk management. Lenders need to adopt strategies that can detect early signs of potential FPD and intervene preemptively. Data-driven decision-making. Leveraging advanced analytics and credit risk modeling is crucial. By incorporating transactional and behavioral data, lenders can make more accurate assessments of a borrower's risk profile. Utilizing predictive models can help forecast which borrowers are likely to default on their first payment, allowing for early intervention. Proactive customer engagement. Initiatives that revolve around education, personalized financial planning advice, and flexible payment arrangements can help borrowers who might be at risk of FPD. Proactive outreach can engage customers before a default occurs, turning a potential negative event into a positive experience. Agile risk management. Risk management strategies should be dynamic and responsive to changing market and customer conditions. Regularly reviewing and updating underwriting criteria, credit policies, and risk assessment tools ensures that lenders are prepared to tackle FPD challenges as they arise. Using FPD as a customer management tool Lastly, and perhaps most importantly, lenders can use FPD as a tool to foster better customer management. Every FPD is a data point that can provide insights into customer behavior and financial trends. By studying the causes and outcomes of FPD, lenders can refine their risk mitigation tools and improve their customer service offerings. Building trust through handling defaults. How lenders handle defaults, specifically the first ones, can significantly impact customer trust. Transparent communication, fair and considerate policies, and supportive customer service can make a difference in retaining customers and improving the lender's brand image. Leveraging data for personalization. The increasing availability of data means lenders can offer more personalized services. By segmenting customers based on payment behavior and response to early interventions, lenders can tailor offerings that meet the specific financial needs and challenges of individual borrowers. How Experian® can help First payment default is a critical aspect of credit risk management that requires attention and proactive strategies. By understanding the causes, implications, and mitigation strategies associated with FPD, financial institutions can not only avoid potential losses but also build stronger, more enduring relationships with their customers. Learn more about Experian’s credit risk modeling solutions. Learn more This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

To say “yes” to consumers faster and more efficiently, financial institutions need flexible access to instant income and employment verification data. In an episode of “The Chrisman Commentary” podcast, Joy Mina, Director of Product Commercialization at Experian, talks about how income and employment verification has changed since Experian entered the market, the benefits of a waterfall strategy, and what’s next in our verifications journey. “Back then, we were hearing lenders primarily asking for more innovative solutions,” said Joy. “They wanted more flexibility without sacrificing quality of service.” Listen to the full episode to learn more about what lenders look for in an income and employment verification solution and how Experian VerifyTM is meeting these needs. Listen to podcast  Learn more