Data & Analytics

This article was updated on March 6, 2024. Advances in analytics and modeling are making credit risk decisioning more efficient and precise. And while businesses may face challenges in developing and deploying new credit risk models, machine learning (ML) — a type of artificial intelligence (AI) — is paving the way for shorter design cycles and greater performance lifts. LEARN MORE: Get personalized recommendations on optimizing your decisioning strategy Limitations of traditional lending models Traditional lending models have worked well for years, and many financial institutions continue to rely on legacy models and develop new challenger models the old-fashioned way. This approach has benefits, including the ability to rely on existing internal expertise and the explainability of the models. However, there are limitations as well. Slow reaction times:  Building and deploying a traditional credit risk model can take many months. That might be okay during relatively stable economic conditions, but these models may start to underperform if there's a sudden shift in consumer behavior or a world event that impacts people's finances. Fewer data sources:  Traditional scoring models may be able to analyze some types of FCRA-regulated data (also called alternative credit data*), such as utility or rent payments, that appear in credit reports. Custom credit risk scores and models could go a step further by incorporating data from additional sources, such as internal data, even if they're designed in a traditional way. But AI-driven models can analyze vast amounts of information and uncover data points that are more highly predictive of risk. Less effective performance:  Experian has found that applying machine learning models can increase accuracy and effectiveness, allowing lenders to make better decisions. When applied to credit decisioning, lenders see a Gini uplift of 60 to 70 percent compared to a traditional credit risk model.1 Leveraging machine learning-driven models to segment your universe From initial segmentation to sending right-sized offers, detecting fraud and managing collection efforts, organizations are already using machine learning throughout the customer life cycle. In fact, 79% are prioritizing the adoption of advanced analytics with AI and ML capabilities, while 65% believe that AI and ML provide their organization with a competitive advantage.2 While machine learning approaches to modeling aren't new, advances in computer science and computing power are unlocking new possibilities.3 Machine learning models can now quickly incorporate your internal data, alternative data, credit bureau data, credit attributes and other scores to give you a more accurate view of a consumer's creditworthiness. By more precisely scoring applicants, you can shrink the population in the middle of your score range, the segment of medium-risk applicants that are difficult to evaluate. You can then lower your high-end cutoff and raise your low-end cutoff, which may allow you to more confidently swap in  good accounts (the applicants you turned down with other models that would have been good) and swap out bad accounts (those you would have approved who turned bad). Machine learning models may also be able to use additional types of data to score applicants who don't qualify for a score  from traditional models. These applicants aren't necessarily riskier — there simply hasn't been a good way to understand the risk they present. Once you can make an accurate assessment, you can increase your lending universe by including this segment of previously "unscorable" consumers, which can drive revenue growth without additional risk. At the same time, you're helping expand financial inclusion to segments of the population that may otherwise struggle to access credit. READ MORE: Is Financial Inclusion Fueling Business Growth for Lenders? Connecting the model to a decision Even a machine learning model doesn't make decisions.4 The model estimates the creditworthiness of an applicant so lenders can make better-informed decisions. AI-driven credit decisioning software can take your parameters (such cutoff points) and the model's outputs to automatically approve or deny more applicants. Models that can more accurately segment and score populations will result in fewer applications going to manual review, which can save you money and improve your customers' experiences. CASE STUDY:  Atlas Credit, a small-dollar lender, nearly doubled its loan approval rates while decreasing risk losses by up to 20 percent using a machine learning-powered model and increased automation. Concerns around explainability One of the primary concerns lenders have about machine learning models come from so-called “black box" models.5 Although these models may offer large lifts, you can't verify how they work internally. As a result, lenders can't explain why decisions are made to regulators or consumers — effectively making them unusable. While it's a valid concern, there are machine learning models that don't use a black box approach. The machine learning model doesn't build itself and it's not really “learning" on its own — that's where the black box would come in. Instead, developers can use machine learning techniques to create more efficient models that are explainable, don't have a disparate impact on protected classes and can generate reason codes that help consumers understand the outcomes. LEARN MORE: Explainability: Machine learning and artificial intelligence in credit decisioning Building and using machine learning models Organizations may lack the expertise and IT infrastructure required to develop or deploy machine learning models. But similar to how digital transformations in other parts of the business are leading companies to use outside cloud-based solutions, there are options that don't require in-house data scientists and developers. Experian's expert-guided options can help you create, test and use machine learning models and AI-driven automated decisioning; Ascend Intelligence Services™ Acquire:  Our model development service allows you to prebuild and test the performance of a new model before Experian data scientists complete the model. It's collaborative, and you can upload internal data through the web portal and make comments or suggestions. The service periodically retrains your model to increase its effectiveness. Ascend Intelligence Services™ Pulse:  Monitor, validate and challenge your existing models to ensure you're not missing out on potential improvements. The service includes a model health index and alerts, performance summary, automatic validations and stress-testing results. It can also automatically build challenger models and share the estimated lift and financial benefit of deployment. PowerCurve® Originations Essentials:  Cloud-based decision engine software that you can use to make automated decisions that are tailored to your goals and needs. A machine learning approach to credit risk and AI-driven decisioning can help improve outcomes for borrowers and increase financial inclusion while reducing your overall costs. With a trusted and experienced partner, you'll also be able to back up your decisions with customizable and regulatorily-compliant reports. Learn more about our credit decisioning solutions. Learn more When we refer to "Alternative Credit Data," this refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA). Hence, the term "Expanded FCRA Data" may also apply in this instance and both can be used interchangeably.1Experian (2024). Improving Your Credit Risk Machine Learning Model Deployment2Experian and Forrester Research (2023). Raising the AI Bar3Experian (2022). Driving Growth During Economic Uncertainty with AI/ML Strategies4Ibid5Experian (2020). Explainability ML and AI in Credit Decisioning

This article was updated on February 28, 2024. There's always a risk that a borrower will miss or completely stop making payments. And when lending is your business, quantifying that credit risk is imperative. However, your credit risk analysts need the right tools and resources to perform at the highest level — which is why understanding the latest developments in credit risk analytics and finding the right partner are important. What is credit risk analytics? Credit risk analytics help turn historical and forecast data into actionable analytical insights, enabling financial institutions to assess risk and make lending and account management decisions. One way organizations do this is by incorporating credit risk modeling into their decisions. Credit risk modeling Financial institutions can use credit risk modeling tools in different ways. They might use one credit risk model, also called a scorecard, to assess credit risk (the likelihood that you won't be repaid) at the time of application. Its output helps you determine whether to approve or deny an application and set the terms of approved accounts. Later in the customer lifecycle, a behavior scorecard might help you understand the risk in your portfolio, adjust credit lines and identify up- or cross-selling opportunities. Risk modeling can also go beyond individual account management to help drive high-level portfolio and strategic decisions. However, managing risk models is an ongoing task. As market conditions and business goals change, monitoring, testing and recalibrating your models is important for accurately assessing credit risk. Credit scoring models Application credit scoring models are one of the most popular applications for credit risk modeling. Designed to predict the probability of default (PD) when making lending decisions, conventional credit risk scoring models focus on the likelihood that a borrower will become 90 days past due (DPD) on a credit obligation in the following 24 months. These risk scores are traditionally logistic regression models built on historical credit bureau data. They often have a 300 to 850 scoring range, and they rank-order consumers so people with higher scores are less likely to go 90 DPD than those with lower scores. However, credit risk models can have different score ranges and be developed to predict different outcomes over varying horizons, such as 60 DPD in the next 12 months. In addition to the conventional credit risk scores, organizations can use in-house and custom credit risk models that incorporate additional data points to better predict PD for their target market. However, they need to have the resources to manage the entire development and deployment or find an experienced partner who can help. The latest trends in credit risk scoring Organizations have used statistical and mathematical tools to measure risk and predict outcomes for decades. But the future of credit underwriting is playing out as big data meets advanced data analytics and increased computing power. Some of the recent trends that we see are: Machine learning credit risk models: Machine learning (ML) is a type of artificial intelligence (AI) that's proven to be especially helpful in evaluating credit risk. ML models can outperform traditional models by 10 to 15 percent.1 Experian survey data from September 2021 found that about 80 percent of businesses are confident in AI and cloud-based credit risk decisioning, and 70 percent frequently discuss using advanced analytics and AI for determining credit risk and collection efforts.2 Expanding data sources: The ML models' performance lift is due, in part, to their ability to incorporate internal and alternative credit data* (or expanded FCRA-regulated data), such as credit data from alternative financial services, rental payments and Buy Now Pay Later loans. Cognitively countering bias: Lenders have a regulatory and moral imperative to remove biases from their lending decisions. They need to beware of how biased training data could influence their credit risk models (ML or otherwise) and monitor the outcomes for unintentionally discriminatory results. This is also why lenders need to be certain that their ML-driven models are fully explainable — there are no black boxes. A focus on agility: The pandemic highlighted the need to have credit risk models and systems that you can quickly adjust to account for unexpected world events and changes in consumer behavior. Real-time analytical insights can increase accuracy during these transitory periods. Financial institutions that can efficiently incorporate the latest developments in credit risk analytics have a lot to gain. For instance, a digital-first lending platform coupled with ML models allows lenders to increasingly automate loan underwriting, which can help them manage rising loan volumes, improve customer satisfaction and free up resources for other growth opportunities. READ: The getting AI-driven decisioning right in financial services white paper to learn more about the current AI decisioning landscape. Why does getting credit risk right matter? Getting credit risk right is at the heart of what lenders do and accurately predicting the likelihood that a borrower won't repay a loan is the starting point. From there, you can look for ways to more accurately score a wider population of consumers, and focus on how to automate and efficiently scale your system. Credit risk analysis also goes beyond simply using the output from a scoring model. Organizations must make lending decisions within the constraints of their internal resources, goals and policies, as well as the external regulatory requirements and market conditions. Analytics and modeling are essential tools, but as credit analysts will tell you, there's also an art to the practice. CASE STUDY: Atlas Credit, a small-dollar lender, worked with Experian's analytics experts to create a custom explainable ML-powered model using various data sources. After reworking the prequalification and credit decisioning processes and optimizing their score cutoffs and business rules, the company can now make instant decisions. It also doubled its approval rate while reducing risk by 15 to 20 percent. How Experian helps clients With decades of experience in credit risk analytics and data management, Experian offers a variety of products and services for financial services firms. Ascend Intelligence Services™ is an award-winning, end-to-end suite of analytics solutions. At a high level, the offering set can rapidly develop new credit risk models, seamlessly deploy them into production and optimize decisioning strategies. It also has the capability to continuously monitor and retrain models to improve performance over time. For organizations that have the experience and resources to develop new credit risk models on their own, Experian can give you access to data and expertise to help guide and improve the process. But there are also off-the-shelf options for organizations that want to quickly benefit from the latest developments in credit risk modeling. Learn more 1Experian (2020). Machine Learning Decisions in Milliseconds 2Experian (2021). Global Insights Report September/October 2021

This article was updated on February 23, 2024. First impressions are always important – whether it’s for a job interview, a first date or when pitching a client. The same goes for financial services onboarding as it’s an opportunity for organizations to foster lifetime loyalty with customers. As a result, financial institutions are on the hunt now more than ever for frictionless online identity verification methods to validate genuine customers and maintain positive experiences during the online onboarding process. In a predominantly digital-first world, financial companies are increasingly focused on the customer experience and creating the most seamless online onboarding process. However, according to Experian’s 2023 Identity and Fraud Report, more than half of U.S. consumers considered dropping out during account opening due to friction and a less-than positive experience. And as technology continues to advance, digital financial services onboarding, not surprisingly, increases the demand for fraud protection and authentication methods – namely with digital identity (ID) verification processes. According to Experian’s report, 64% of consumers are very or somewhat concerned with online security, with identity theft being their top concern. So how can financial institutions guarantee a frictionless online onboarding experience while executing proper authentication methods and maintaining security and fraud detection? The answer? While a “frictionless” experience can seem like a bit of a unicorn, there are some ways to get close: Utilizing better data - Digital devices offer an extensive amount of data that’s useful in determining risk. Characteristics that allow the identification of a specific device, the behaviors associated with the device and information about a device’s owner can be captured without adding friction for the user. Analytics – Once the data is collected, advanced analytics uses information based on behavioral data, digital intelligence, phone intelligence and email intelligence to analyze for risk. While there’s friction in the initial ask for the input data, the risk prediction improves with more data. Document verification and biometric identity verification – Real-time document verification used in conjunction with facial biometrics, behavioral biometrics and other physical characteristics allows for rapid onboarding and helps to maintain a low friction customer journey. Financial institutions can utilize document verification to replace manual long-form applications for rapid onboarding and immediately verify new data at the point of entry. Using their mobile phones, consumers can photograph and upload identity documents to pre-fill applications. Document authenticity can be verified in real-time. Biometrics, including facial, behavioral, or other physical characteristics (like fingerprints), are low-touch methods of customer authentication that can be used synchronously with document verification. Optimize your financial services onboarding process Experian understands how critical identity management and fraud protection is when it comes to the online onboarding process and identity verification. That’s why we created layered digital identity verification and risk segmentation solutions to help legitimize your customers with confidence while improving the customer experience. Our identity verification solutions use advanced technology and capabilities to correctly identify and verify real customers while mitigating fraud and maintaining frictionless customer experiences. Learn more

This article was updated on February 21, 2024. With the rise of technology and data analytics in the financial industry today, it's no longer enough for companies to rely solely on traditional marketing methods. Data-driven marketing insights provide a more sophisticated and comprehensive view of shifting customer preferences and behaviors. With this in mind, this blog post will highlight the importance of data-driven marketing insights, particularly for financial institutions. The importance of data-driven marketing insights 30% of companies say poor data quality is a key challenge to delivering excellent customer experiences. Today’s consumers want personalized experiences built around their individual needs and preferences. Data-driven marketing insights can help marketers meet this demand, but only if it is fresh and accurate. When extending firm credit offers to consumers, lenders must ensure they reach individuals who are both creditworthy and likely to respond. Additionally, their message must be relevant and delivered at the right time and place. Without comprehensive data insights, it can be difficult to gauge whether a consumer is in the market for credit or determine how to best approach them. READ: Case study: Deliver timely and personalized credit offers The benefits of data-driven marketing insights By drawing data-driven marketing insights, you can reach and engage the best customers for your business. This means: Better understanding current and potential customers To increase response and conversion rates, organizations must identify high-propensity consumers and create personalized messaging that resonates. By leveraging customer data that is valid, fresh, and regularly updated, you’ll gain deeper insights into who your customers are, what they’re looking for and how to effectively communicate with them. Additionally, you can analyze the performance of your campaigns and better predict future behaviors. Utilizing technology to manage your customer data With different sources of information, it’s imperative to consolidate and optimize your data to create a single customer view. Using a data-driven technology platform, you can break down data silos by collecting and connecting consumer information across multiple sources and platforms. This way, you can make data available and accessible when and where needed while providing consumers with a cohesive experience across channels and devices. Monitoring the accuracy of your data over time Data is constantly changing, so implementing processes to effectively monitor and control quality over time is crucial. This means leveraging data quality tools that perform regular data cleanses, spot incomplete or duplicated data, and address common data errors. By monitoring the accuracy of your data over time, you can make confident decisions and improve the customer experience. Turning insights into action With data-driven marketing insights, you can level up your campaigns to find the best customers while decreasing time and dollars wasted on unqualified prospects. Visit us to learn more about how data-driven insights can power your marketing initiatives. Learn more Enhance your marketing strategies today This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.

Developing machine learning (ML) credit risk models can be more challenging than traditional credit risk modeling approaches. But once deployed, ML models can increase automation and expand a lender’s credit universe.  For example, by using ML-driven credit risk models and combining traditional credit data with transactional bank data, a type of alternative credit data* , some lenders see a Gini uplift of 60 to 70 percent compared to a traditional credit risk model.1   New approaches to model operations are also helping lenders accelerate their machine learning model development processes and go from collecting data to deploying a new model in days instead of months.  READ MORE: Getting AI-driven decisioning right in financial services What is machine learning model development? Machine learning model development is what happens before the model gets deployed. It's often broken down into several steps. Define the problem: If you’re building an ML credit risk model, the problem you may be trying to solve is anticipating defaults, improving affordability for borrowers or expanding your lending universe by scoring more thin-file and previously unscorable consumers.  Gather, clean and stage data: Identify helpful data sources, such as internal, credit bureau and alternative credit data. The data will then need to be consolidated, structured, labeled and categorized. Machine learning can be useful here as well, as ML models can be trained to label and categorize raw data. Feature engineering: The data is then analyzed to identify the individual variables and clusters of variables that may offer the most lift. Features that may directly or unintentionally create bias should be removed or limited.  Create the model: Deciding which algorithms and techniques to use when developing a model can be part art and part science. Because lenders need to be able to explain the decisions they make to consumers and regulators, many lenders build model explainability into new ML-driven credit risk models. Validate and deploy: New models are validated and rigorously tested, often as challengers to the existing champion model. If the new model can consistently outperform, it may move on to production.  The work doesn’t stop once a model is live — it needs to be continuously monitored for drift, and potentially recalibrated or replaced with a new model. About 10 percent of lenders use tools to automatically alert them when their models start to drift. But around half make a point of checking deployed models for drift every month or quarter.3  READ MORE: Journey of an ML Model What is model deployment? Model deployment is one of the final steps in the model lifecycle — it’s when you move the model from development and validation to live production.  New models can be deployed in various ways, including via API integration and cloud service deployment using public, private or hybrid architecture. However, integrating a new model with existing systems can be challenging. About a third (33 percent) of consumer lending organizations surveyed in 2023 said it took them one to two months for model deployment-related activities. A little less (29 percent) said it took them three to six months.  Overall, it often takes up to 15 months for the entire development to deployment process — and 55 percent of lenders report building models that never get deployed.2  READ MORE: Accelerating the Model Development and Deployment Lifecycle Benefits of deploying machine learning credit risk models Developing, deploying, monitoring and recalibrating ML models can be difficult and costly. But financial institutions have a lot to gain from embracing the future of underwriting. Improve credit risk assessment: ML-driven models can incorporate more data sources and more precisely assess credit risk to help lenders price credit offers and decrease charge-offs.  Expand automation: More precise scoring can also increase automation by reducing how many applications need to go to manual review.  Increase financial inclusion: ML-models may be able to evaluate consumers who don’t have recent credit information or thick enough credit files to be scorable by traditional models. In short, ML models can help lenders make better loan offers to more people while taking on less risk and using fewer internal resources to review applications.  CASE STUDY: Atlas Credit, a small-dollar lender, partnered with Experian® to develop a fully explainable machine learning credit risk model that incorporated internal data, trended data, alternative financial services data and Experian’s attributes. Atlas Credit can use the new model to make instant decisions and is expected to double its approvals while decreasing losses by up to 20 percent.  How we can help Experian offers many machine learning solutions for different industries and use cases via the Experian Ascend Technology Platform™. For example, with Ascend ML Builder™, lenders can access an on-demand development environment that can increase model velocity — the time it takes to complete a new model’s lifecycle. You can configure Ascend ML Builder based on the compute you allocate and your use cases, and the included code templates (called Accelerators) can help with data wrangling, analysis and modeling.  There’s also Ascend Ops™, a cloud-based model operations solution. You can use Ascend Ops to register, test and deploy custom features and models. Automated model monitoring and management can also help you track feature and model data drift and model performance to improve models in production. Learn more about our machine learning and model deployment solutions *When we refer to “Alternative Credit Data,” this refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions, as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act. Hence, the term “Expanded FCRA Data” may also apply and can be used interchangeably. 1. Experian (2023). Raising the AI Bar 2. Experian (2023). Accelerating Model Velocity in Financial Institutions 3. Ibid.

As a community bank or credit union, your goal is to provide personalized care and attention to your customers and members while effectively managing regulatory requirements and operational efficiency. By incorporating tools such as income and employment verification, you can streamline the approval process for both account holders and prospects. With the ability to validate their information in seconds, you'll be able to make well-informed decisions faster and accelerate conversion. In this blog post, we will explore the empowering impact of income and employment verification on financial institutions. Better Data, Better Decisions Choosing a verification partner with an instant employer payroll network allows financial institutions to access reliable and up-to-date income and employment information for confident decision-making. With accurate and timely data at their fingertips, you can gain a deeper understanding of your account holders’ capacity to pay, a critical component to assessing overall financial health. This not only helps mitigate risk but also helps you serve your customers and members more effectively. There are additional benefits to partnering with a verification solution provider that is also a Credit Reporting Agency (CRA) offering FCRA-compliant technologies. These organizations are well versed in compliance matters and can help you more effectively mitigate risk. Streamline Approval Times and Remove Friction When developing your verification process, it is advantageous to adopt a waterfall or multi-step approach that encompasses instant verification, permissioned verification, and, as a last resort, manual verification. This tiered approach will significantly reduce approval times, manage costs effectively, and streamline the approval process. Instant verification relies on advanced technology to provide swift and efficient results. In cases where instant verification is unavailable, the process seamlessly transitions to permissioned verification, where explicit consent is obtained from individuals to access their payroll data directly from their respective providers. Lastly, manual verification involves collecting payroll and employment documents, which is a more time-consuming and costly process. By implementing this comprehensive approach, you can enhance the efficiency and effectiveness of your verification process while maintaining the integrity of the results. A Flexible Solution Community banks and credit unions are integral to the lending industry. It is crucial for them to select a versatile verification solution that can keep pace with the approval speed of both regional and large banks. Given that community banks and credit unions operate in smaller geographic regions compared to larger institutions, it is imperative for them to have a verification solution that is versatile and can be applied across their entire spectrum of loan offerings, including mortgage loans, automotive loans, credit cards, home equity loans, and consumer loans. This adaptability enables community banks and credit unions to consistently serve their account holders and enhances their ability to compete effectively with larger financial institutions. With a robust verification solution in place, community banks and credit unions can confidently navigate the complexities of the lending landscape and deliver exceptional results for their valued account holders. World-Class Service and Support To ensure a seamless verification journey, community banks and credit unions should choose a solution provider that delivers exceptional service and support. From the initial onboarding process and comprehensive training to ongoing troubleshooting and guidance, a dedicated and knowledgeable support team becomes indispensable in establishing a successful verification process. Having hands-on training and support not only instills peace of mind but also empowers community-focused financial institutions to consistently provide a high level of personalized service, fostering trust and loyalty among their customers and members. By investing in a robust support system, community banks and credit unions can confidently navigate the verification landscape and stay ahead in an ever-evolving financial industry, reinforcing their commitment to delivering an outstanding experience to their communities. As a longstanding leader in the financial industry, Experian understands the unique challenges faced by community banks and credit unions. Our verification solution, Experian VerifyTM, provides accurate, efficient, and compliant income and employment verification services. With Experian Verify, community focused financial institutions can navigate the complexities of income and employment verification with ease, achieving new levels of efficiency and success. To learn more about how Experian Verify can benefit your bank or credit union, we invite you to visit our website and schedule a personalized demo. Together, let's unlock the potential of income and employment verification and elevate your financial institution to new heights of success. Learn more

This article was updated on February 12, 2024. The Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) space has grown massively over the last few years. But with rapid growth comes an increased risk of fraud, making "Buy Now, Pay Never" a crucial fraud threat to watch out for in 2024 and beyond. What is BNPL? BNPL, a type of short-term financing, has been around for decades in different forms. It's attractive to consumers because it offers the option to split up a specific purchase into installments rather than paying the full total upfront. The modern form of BNPL typically offers four installments, with the first payment at the time of purchase, as well as 0% APR and no hidden fees. According to an Experian survey, consumers cited managing spending (34%), convenience (31%), and avoiding interest payments (23%) as main reasons for choosing BNPL. Participating retailers generally offer BNPL at point-of-sale, making it easy for customers to opt-in and get instantly approved. The customer then makes a down payment and pays off the installments from their preferred account. BNPL is on the rise The fintech and online-payment-driven world is seeing a rise in the popularity of BNPL. According to Experian research, 3 in 4 consumers have used BNPL in 2023, with 11% using BNPL weekly to make purchases. The interest in BNPL also spans generations — 36% of Gen Z, 43% of Millennials, 32% of Gen X, and 12% of Baby Boomers have used this payment method. The risks of BNPL While BNPL is a convenient, easy way for consumers to plan for their purchases, experts warn that with lax checkout and identity verification processes it is a target for digital fraud. Experian predicts an uptick in three primary risks for BNPL providers and their customers: identity theft, first-party fraud, and synthetic identity fraud. WATCH: Fraud and Identity Challenges for Fintechs Victims of identity theft can be hit with charges from BNPL providers for products they have never purchased. First-party and synthetic identity risks will emerge as a shopper's buying power grows and the temptation to abandon repayment increases. Fraudsters may use their own or fabricated identities to make purchases with no intent to repay. This leaves the BNPL provider at the risk of unrecoverable monetary losses and can impact the business' risk tolerance, causing them to narrow their lending band and miss out on properly verified consumers. An additional risk lies with fraudsters who may leverage account takeover to gain access to a legitimate user's account and payment information to make unauthorized purchases. READ: Payment Fraud Detection and Prevention: What You Need to Know Mitigating BNPL risks Luckily, there are predictive credit, identity verification, and fraud prevention tools available to help businesses minimize the risks associated with BNPL. Paired with the right data, these tools can give businesses a comprehensive view of consumer payments, including the number of outstanding BNPL loans, total BNPL loan amounts, and BNPL payment status, as well as helping to detect and apply the relevant treatment to different types of fraud. By accurately identifying customers and assessing risk in real-time, businesses can make confident lending and fraud prevention decisions. To learn more about how Experian is enabling the protection of consumer credit scores, better risk assessments, and more inclusive lending, visit us or request a call. And keep an eye out for additional in-depth explorations of our Future of Fraud Forecast. Learn more Future of Fraud Forecast

Companies depend on quality information to make decisions that move their business objectives forward while minimizing risk exposure. And in today’s modern, tech-driven, innovation-led world, there’s more  information available than ever before. Expansive datasets from sources, both internal and external, allow decision-makers to leverage a wide range of intelligence to fuel how they plan, forecast and set priorities. But how can business leaders be sure that their data is as robust, up-to-date and thorough as they need — and, most importantly, that they’re able to use it to its fullest potential? That’s where the power of advanced analytics comes in. By making use of cutting-edge datasets and analytics insights, businesses can stay on the vanguard of business intelligence and ahead of their competitors. What is advanced analytics? Advanced analytics is a form of business intelligence that takes full advantage of the most modern data sources and analytics tools to create forward-thinking analysis that can help businesses make well-informed, data-driven decisions that are tailored to their needs. Simply put, advanced analytics is an essential component of any proactive business strategy that aims to maximize the future potential of both customers and campaigns. These advanced business intelligence and analytics solutions  help leaders make profitable decisions no matter the state of the current economic climate. They use both traditional and non-traditional data sources to provide businesses with actionable insights in the formats best suited to their needs and goals. One key aspect of advanced analytics is the use of AI analytics solutions. These efficient and effective tools help businesses save time and money by harnessing the power of cutting-edge technologies and deploying them in optimal use-case scenarios. These AI and machine-learning solutions use a wide range of tools, such as neural network methodologies, to help organizations optimize their allocation of resources, expediting and automating some processes while creating valuable insights to help human decision-makers navigate others. Benefits of advanced analytics Traditional business intelligence tends to be limited by the scope and quality of available data and ability of analysts to make use of it in an effective, comprehensive way. Modern business intelligence analytics, on the other hand, integrates machine learning and analytics to maximize the potential of data sets that, in today's technology-driven world, are often overwhelmingly large and complex: think not just databases of customer decisions and actions but behavioral data points tied to online and offline activity and the internet of things. What's more, advanced analytics does this in a way that's accessible to an entire organization — not just those who know their way around data, like IT departments and trained analysts. With the right advanced analytics solution, decision-makers can access convenient cloud-based dashboards designed to give them the information they want and need — with no clutter, noise or confusing terminology. Another key advantage of advanced analytics solutions is that they don't just analyze data — they optimize it, too. Advanced analytics offers the ability to clean up and integrate multiple data sets to remove duplicates, correct errors and inaccuracies and standardize formats, leading to high-quality data that creates clarity, not confusion. The result? By analyzing and identifying relationships across data, businesses can uncover hidden insights and issues. Advanced analytics also automate some aspects of the decision-making process to make workflows quicker and nimbler. For example, a business might choose to automate credit scoring, product recommendations for existing customers or the identification of potential fraud. Reducing manual interventions translates to increased agility and operational efficiency and, ultimately, a better competitive advantage. Use cases in the financial services industry Advanced analytics gives businesses in the financial world the power to go deeper into their data — and to integrate alternative data sources as well. With predictive analytics models, this data can be transformed into highly usable, next-level insights that help decision-makers optimize their business strategies. Credit risk, for instance, is a major concern for financial organizations that want to offer customers the best possible options while ensuring their credit products remain profitable. By utilizing advanced analytics solutions combined with a broad range of datasets, lenders can create highly accurate credit risk scores that forecast future customer behavior and identify and mitigate risk, leading to better lending decisions across the credit lifecycle. Advanced analytics solutions can also help businesses problem-solve. Let's say, for instance, that uptake of a new loan product has been slower than desired. By using business intelligence analytics, companies can determine what factors might be causing the issue and predict the tweaks and changes they can make to improve results. Advanced analytics means better, more detailed segmentation, which allows for more predictive insights. Businesses taking advantage of advanced analytics services are simply better informed: not only do they have access to more and better data, but they're able to convert it into actionable insights that help them lower risk, better predict outcomes, and boost the performance of their business. How we can help Experian offers a wide range of advanced analytics tools aimed at helping businesses in all kinds of industries succeed through better use of data. From custom machine learning models that help financial institutions assess risk more accurately to self-service dashboards designed to facilitate more agile responses to changes in the market, we have a solution that's right for every business. Plus, our advanced analytics offerings include a vast data repository with insights on 245 million credit-active individuals and 25 million businesses, as well as the industry's largest alternative data set from non-traditional lenders. Ready to explore? Click below to learn about our advanced analytics solutions. Learn more

This article was updated on February 6, 2024. Lenders looking to gain a competitive edge need to improve their credit underwriting process in the coming years. The most obvious developments are the advances in artificial intelligence (AI) — machine learning in particular — the increased available computing capacity, and access to vast amounts of data. But when it comes to credit underwriting models, those are tools you can use to reach your goals, not a strategy for success. The evolution of credit underwriting Credit underwriters have had the same goal for millennia — assess the creditworthiness of a borrower to determine whether to offer them a loan. But the process has changed immensely, and the pace of change has recently increased. Fewer than 50 years ago, an underwriter might consider an applicant's income, occupation, marital status, and sex to make a decision. The Equal Credit Opportunity Act didn't pass until 1974. And it wasn't expanded to prohibit lending discrimination based on other factors, such as color, age, and national origin, until two years later. Regulatory changes can have an immediate and immense impact on credit underwriting, but there were also slower changes developing. As credit bureaus centralized and computers became more readily available, credit decisioning systems offered new insights. The systems could segment groups and help lenders make more complex and profitable decisions at scale, such as setting risk-appropriate credit limits and terms. INFOGRAPHIC: Data-driven decisioning journey map With access to more data and computing power, lenders get a more complete picture of applicants and their current customers. Technological advances also lead to automated decisions, which can improve lenders' workflows and customer satisfaction. In the late 2000s, fintech lenders entered the scene and disrupted the ecosystem with a completely online underwriting and funding process. More recently, AI and machine learning started as buzzwords, but quickly became business necessities. In fact, 66% of businesses believe advanced analytics, including machine learning and artificial intelligence, are going to rapidly change the way they do business.1 The latest explainable machine learning models can increase automation and efficiency while outperforming traditional modeling approaches. Access to increased computing power is, once again, helping power this shift.2 But it's also only possible because of the lenders access to alternative credit data.* WATCH: Why Advanced Analytics is Now Available for All Future-proofing your credit underwriting strategy Today's leading lenders use innovative technology and comprehensive data to improve their credit decisioning — including fraud detection, underwriting, account management, and collections. To avoid getting left behind, you need to consider how you can incorporate new tools and processes into your strategy. Get comfortable with machine learning models Although machine learning models have repeatedly shown they can offer performance improvements, lenders may hesitate to adopt them if they can't explain how the models work. It's smart to be cautious as so-called “black box" models generally don't pass regulatory muster — even if they can offer a greater lift. But there is a middle ground, and credit modelers use machine learning techniques to develop more effective models that are fully explainable. READ MORE: Explainability: ML and AI in credit decisioning Explore new data sources Machine learning models are great at recognizing patterns, but you need to train them on large data sets if you want to unlock their full potential. Lenders' internal data can be important, especially if they're developing custom models. But lenders should also try leveraging various types of alternative credit data to train models and more accurately assess an applicant's creditworthiness. This can include data from public records, rental payments, alternative financial services, and consumer-permissioned data. READ MORE: 2023 State of Alternative Credit Data Report Focus on financial inclusion Using new data sources can also help you more accurately understand the risk of an applicant who isn't scorable with traditional models. For example, Lift Premium™ uses machine learning and a combination of traditional consumer bureau credit data and alternative credit data to score 96 percent of U.S. consumers — 15 percent more than conventional scores.3 As a result, lenders can expand their lending universe and offer right-sized terms to people and groups who might otherwise be overlooked. Use AI to fuel automation Artificial intelligence can accelerate automation throughout the credit life cycle. Machine learning models do this within underwriting by more precisely estimating the creditworthiness of applicants. The more accurate a model is, the better it will be at identifying applicants who lenders want to approve or deny. Consider your decisioning strategy Although a machine learning model might offer more precise insight, lenders still need to set their decisioning strategy and business rules, including the cutoff points. Credit decisioning software can help lenders implement these decisions with speed, accuracy, and scalability. CASE STUDY: Experian partnered with OneAZ Credit Union to upgrade to an advanced credit decisioning platform and automate its underwriting strategy. The credit union increased load funding rates by 26 percent within one month and reduced manual reviews by 25 percent. Use underwriting as a component of strategic optimization Advanced analytics allow companies to move away from simpler rule-based decisions and toward strategies that take the business's overall goals into account. For example, lenders may be able to optimize decisions that involve competing goals — such as targets for volume and bad debt — to help the business reach its goals. Test and benchmark Underwriting is an iterative process. Lenders can use machine learning techniques to build and test challenger models and see how well they perform. You can also compare the results to industry benchmarks to see if there's likely room for more improvement. Why lenders choose Experian Lenders have used Experian's consumer and business credit data to underwrite loans for decades, but Experian is also a leader in advanced analytics. As lenders try to figure out how they'll approach underwriting in the coming years, they can partner with Experian's data scientists, who understand how to develop and deploy the latest types of compliant and explainable credit underwriting models. Experian also offers credit underwriting software and cloud-based and integrated decisioning platforms, along with modular solutions, such as access to alternative credit data, predictive attributes and scores. And lenders can explore collaborative approaches to developing ML-aided models that incorporate internal and third-party data. If you're not sure where to start, a business review can help you identify a few quick wins and create a road map for future improvements. Explore our credit decisioning solutions. * When we refer to “Alternative Credit Data," this refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA). Hence, the term “Expanded FCRA Data" may also apply in this instance and both can be used interchangeably. 1Experian (2022). Explainability: ML and AI in credit decisioning2Experian (2022). Webinar: Driving Growth During Economic Uncertainty with AI/ML Strategies 3Experian (2022). Lift Premium

This article was updated on January 23, 2024. Sometimes you have to break from tradition and look to modern solutions to address modern problems. As consumers increasingly expect fast-paced digital experiences, lenders are tapping into advances in computing power to enhance their operations. According to a 2022 Experian study, 66% of businesses believe advanced analytics, including machine learning and artificial intelligence, are going to rapidly change the way they do business.1 While some may feel wary about trusting automated systems, remember that you're in control of the strategy. Automation comes in after to help take over monotonous and complex or error-prone tasks. As a result, you can free up resources for work that isn't as well-suited for automation, such as analyzing results and revising strategies. The benefits of automation within loan origination From initial screenings to determining a final decision or credit limit, automation can offer benefits throughout the loan origination process. And lenders of all sizes are exploring opportunities for automation to help them: Manage an overwhelming number of applications:  Lenders may be struggling to respond to an increased demand for credit, particularly if they're also dealing with staffing shortages and rely on manual inputs and reviews. Automation can remove some of the burden from employees and lead to faster decisions. Increase consistency and accuracy:  Transposing information from applications and making calculations by hand can result in errors or inconsistent results. Modern automated systems can help ensure information is accurate, uniform and up to date. Create scalable processes:  Automated processes are easier to scale than a strategy that relies on consistent manual reviews and frequent back-and-forth with customers. Improve customers' experiences:  Fast, accurate and fair decisions make for happy customers. However, 58% don't feel that businesses completely meet their expectations for their online experience.2 What's more, 91% of online applications are abandoned before completion.3 More loans, a consistent scalable process and happy customers can all drive revenue growth. When integrated throughout the underwriting journey, automation can also help you increase conversion rates and expand your lending universe without taking on more risk. What does an optimized and automated loan origination process look like? Modern loan origination software offers flexibility, security, speed and robust integrations. These can be cloud-based systems that vendors create and manage on your behalf, or lenders that have the resources and capabilities may be able to bring (or build) them in house. Strategy first Automating parts of your origination process can save you time and money, but you have to start with a specific strategy. For example, you might consider your model's outputs and decide on denial and approval cut-off points — you can then automate those approvals and denials. You can also test, revise, and optimize strategies based on your desired results. Digital applications Let consumers apply when and how they want, even if it means pausing part-way through and continuing on a different device later. Remove potentially time-consuming steps by letting consumers upload and sign documents digitally, and use AI-driven automated systems to review the documents for accuracy.4 Integration with various data sources You need good data—and lots of it—to get the most out of an automated system. Some platforms can automatically connect and use internal data alongside third-party data sources, such as alternative data, credit bureau data and credit attributes. Identity, income and fraud checks Automated platforms can work with verification tools to quickly confirm the applicant's employment and income, confirm their identity and perform fraud checks. The process can take minutes rather than days or weeks, letting you quickly move applicants through to the next stage of the process. Decisions based on optimized models Automated decision engines use your strategy and the available data to quickly return a decision. Machine learning models can score consumers who aren't scorable by traditional credit models, expanding your potential customer base while furthering financial inclusion goals. They can also more accurately score applicants and narrow the band (and potentially the number of applications) that requires manual reviews.5 Automation in action:  Atlas Credit, a small-dollar lender, wanted to modernize its lending with customized and automated systems. Experian helped them build a custom machine learning credit risk model and optimized their decision strategy and cutoffs. The results exceeded Atlas Credit's goals, and the company  nearly doubled their loan approval rates  while decreasing risk losses by 15 to 20 percent. Explainable results Automated, fast decisions based on machine learning and AI analytics might raise some compliance flags—but we've moved beyond black box models. You need to be aware of and follow all the applicable regulations, and you can use AI and machine learning in precise ways to increase your efficiency while having fully explainable and compliant results. Experian's automated offerings build on a history of success Experian has decades of experience helping lenders make accurate and timely credit decisions, and our flexible loan origination system can help you automate originations while managing risk. It starts with good data. While we're known for our consumer credit database that has information on over 245 million consumers, Experian can also give lenders access to alternative data, including alternative financial services, rental payment data and consumer-permission data. And we know how to incorporate your internal data to create strategies that will further your specific goals. From marketing to collections, our integrated offerings can help you use the data to automate and optimize decisions across the entire customer life cycle. And whether you want to take the reins or tap our data scientists for their expertise, there are options to fit your needs. Learn more about our suite of loan origination software solutions and PowerCurve® Originations Essentials, our automated decision engine. Learn more 1Experian (2022). Explainability: ML and AI in credit decisioning2Experian (2022). North America findings from the 2022 Decisioning Survey 3Experian (2023). eBook: The Ultimate Guide to Competitive Growth 4Ibid.5Experian (2022). Driving Growth During Economic Uncertainty with AI/ML Strategies

In today’s highly competitive landscape, credit card issuers face the challenge of optimizing portfolio profitability while also effectively managing their overall risk. Financial institutions successfully navigating the current market put more focus on proactively managing their credit limits. By appropriately assigning initial credit limits and actively overseeing current limits, these firms are improving profitability, reducing potential risk, and creating a better customer experience. But how do you get started with this important tool? Let’s explore how and why proactive credit limit management could impact your business. The importance of proactive credit limit management Enhanced profitability: Assigning the optimal credit limit that caters to a customer’s spending behavior while also considering their capacity to repay can stimulate increased credit card usage without taking on additional risk. This will generate higher transaction volumes, increase interest income, promote top-of-wallet use, and improve wallet share, all positively impacting the institution’s profitability. Mitigating risk exposure: A proactive review of the limits assigned within a credit card portfolio helps financial institutions assess their exposure to overextended credit usage or potential defaults. Knowing when to reduce a credit limit and assigning the right amount can help financial institutions mitigate their portfolio risk. Minimizing default rates: Accurately assigning the right credit limit reduces the likelihood of customers defaulting on payments. When an institution aligns their credit limits with a cardholder's financial capability, it reduces the probability of customers exceeding their spending capacity and defaulting on payments. Improving the customer experience: A regular review of a credit card portfolio can help financial institutions find opportunities to proactively increase credit limits. This reduces the need for a customer to call in and request a higher credit limit and can increase wallet share and customer loyalty. Strategies for effective credit limit management Utilizing advanced analytics: Leveraging machine learning models and mathematically optimized decision strategies allows financial institutions to better assess risk and determine the optimal limit assignment. By analyzing spending patterns, credit utilization, and repayment behavior, institutions can dynamically adjust credit limits to match evolving customer financial profiles. Regular review and adjustments: As part of portfolio risk management, implementing a system for a recurring review and adjustment of credit limits is crucial. It ensures that credit limits are still aligned with the customer's financial situation and spending habits, while also reducing the risk of default. Customization and flexibility: Personalized credit limits tailored to individual customer needs improve customer satisfaction and loyalty. Proactively increasing limits based on improved creditworthiness or income reassessment can foster stronger customer relationships. Protect profitability and control risk exposure  Using the right data analytics, processing regular reviews, and customizing limits to individual customer needs helps reduce risk exposure while maximizing profitability. As the economic landscape evolves, institutions that prioritize proactive credit limit management will gain a competitive edge by fostering responsible customer spending behavior, minimizing default rates, and optimizing their bottom line. With Experian, automating your credit limit management process is easy Experian’s Ascend Intelligence ServicesTM Limit provides you with the optimal credit limits at the customer level to generate a higher share of plastic spend, reduce portfolio risk, and proactively meet customer expectations. Let us help automate your credit limit management process to better serve your customers and quickly respond to the volatile market. To find out more, please visit our website. Ready for a demo? Contact us now!

In an era where record-breaking home prices and skyrocketing interest rates define the mortgage landscape, borrowers find themselves sidelined by prohibitive costs. With the purchase market at a standstill, mortgage lenders are grappling with how to sustain and grow their businesses. Navigating these turbulent waters requires innovative solutions that address the current market dynamics and pave the way for a more resilient and adaptive future.    Today, I’m sitting down with Ivan Ahmed, Director of Product Management for Experian’s Property Data solutions, to learn more about Experian’s Residential Property Attributes™, a new and exciting dataset that can significantly enhance mortgage marketing and mortgage lead generation strategies and drive business growth for lenders, particularly during these challenging times.    Question 1: Ivan, can you provide a brief overview of Residential Property Attributes and its relevance in today’s mortgage lending landscape?   Answer 1: Absolutely. Residential Property Attributes is our latest product innovation designed to revolutionize how mortgage lenders approach marketing and growth decisions. It’s a robust dataset containing nearly 300 attributes that seamlessly integrates borrower property and tradeline information, providing a more holistic view of a borrower’s financial situation. This powerful dataset empowers lenders to make well-informed, impactful marketing decisions by refining campaign segmentation and targeting. Our attributes group into five categories:  Question 2: As a data-focused company, we frequently discuss the importance of leveraging data and analytics to enhance marketing performance with clients. Considering other data providers that offer property data analytics or credit behavior data, what makes our capabilities distinct?  Answer 2: The defining feature of Residential Property Attributes is its integration with borrower tradeline data. Many lenders today focus primarily on credit behavior, but we consider property data analytics, a critical aspect, equally important. By merging these two components, we present lenders with a thorough and accurate understanding of their target borrowers. This combination is revolutionary for marketing leaders looking to boost campaign performance and return on investment (ROI).  Consider this scenario: On paper, two borrowers may seem homogenous, with similar credit scores, payment histories, and debt-to-income ratios. However, when you incorporate property-level insights, a striking disparity in their overall financial situations emerges. This level of insight prevents possible misdirection in marketing efforts.  Question 3: Could you share more about the practical benefits of Residential Property Attributes, especially regarding enhancing marketing performance?  Answer 3: Residential Property Attributes is instrumental in amplifying performance. It enables precise audience segmentation, allowing lenders to tailor marketing campaigns to address specific borrower needs. Here are a few examples:  Lenders can identify borrowers with over $100k in tappable equity and high-interest personal loans and credit card debt. These borrowers are ideal for a cash-out refinance campaign aimed at debt consolidation. They can use a similar approach for Home Equity Line of Credit (HELOC) or Reverse Mortgage campaigns.  Another instance is the utilization of property listings data. This identifies borrowers who are actively selling their properties and may need a new mortgage loan. This insight, coupled with credit-based 'in the market' propensity scores, enables lenders to pinpoint highly motivated borrowers. Such personalization improves engagement and enhances the borrower experience. The result is a marketing campaign that resonates with the audience, thus yielding higher response rates and conversions. The integrated view provided by Residential Property Attributes is the secret ingredient enabling lenders to maximize ROI by optimizing their marketing journey at every step.  Taking action  As we traverse today's complex mortgage landscape, it's clear that conventional methods fall short. As we face unprecedented challenges, adopting a holistic view of borrowers via Residential Property Attributes is not an option but a necessity. It's more than a tool; it's a compass guiding lenders towards more informed, resilient, and successful futures in the ever-changing world of mortgage lending.  Learn more about Residential Property Attributes

Model explainability has become a hot topic as lenders look for ways to use artificial intelligence (AI) to improve their decision-making. Within credit decisioning, machine learning (ML) models can often outperform traditional models at predicting credit risk.  ML models can also be helpful throughout the customer lifecycle, from marketing and fraud detection to collections optimization. However, without explainability, using ML models may result in unethical and illegal business practices.  What is model explainability?  Broadly defined, model explainability is the ability to understand and explain a model's outputs at either a high level (global explainability) or for a specific output (local explainability).1  Local vs global explanation: Global explanations attempt to explain the main factors that determine a model's outputs, such as what causes a credit score to rise or fall. Local explanations attempt to explain specific outputs, such as what leads to a consumer's credit score being 688. But it's not an either-or decision — you may need to explain both.  Model explainability can also have varying definitions depending on who asks you to explain a model and how detailed of a definition they require. For example, a model developer may require a different explanation than a regulator.  Model explainability vs interpretability  Some people use model explainability and interpretability interchangeably. But when the two terms are distinguished, model interpretability may refer to how easily a person can understand and explain a model's decisions.2 We might call a model interpretable if a person can clearly understand:  The features or inputs that the model uses to make a decision.  The relative importance of the features in determining the outputs.  What conditions can lead to specific outputs.  Both explainability and interpretability are important, especially for credit risk models used in credit underwriting. However, we will use model explainability as an overarching term that encompasses an explanation of a model's outputs and interpretability of its internal workings below.  ML models highlight the need for explainability in finance  Lenders have used credit risk models for decades. Many of these models have a clear set of rules and limited inputs, and they might be described as self-explanatory. These include traditional linear and logistic regression models, scorecards and small decision trees.3  AI analytics solutions, such as ML-powered credit models, have been shown to better predict credit risk. And most financial institutions are increasing their budgets for advanced analytics solutions and see their implementation as a top priority.4  However, ML models can be more complex than traditional models and they introduce the potential of a “black box." In short, even if someone knows what goes into and comes out of the model, it's difficult to explain what's happening without an in-depth analysis.  Lenders now have to navigate a necessary trade-off. ML-powered models may be more predictive, but regulatory requirements and fair lending goals require lenders to use explainable models.  READ MORE: Explainability: ML and AI in credit decisioning  Why is model explainability required?  Model explainability is necessary for several reasons:  To comply with regulatory requirements: Decisions made using ML models need to comply with lending and credit-related, including the Fair Credit Reporting Act (FCRA) and Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA). Lenders may also need to ensure their ML-driven models comply with newer AI-focused regulations, such as the AI Bill of Rights in the U.S. and the E.U. AI Act.  To improve long-term credit risk management: Model developers and risk managers may want to understand why decisions are being made to audit, manage and recalibrate models.  To avoid bias: Model explainability is important for ensuring that lenders aren't discriminating against groups of consumers.  To build trust: Lenders also want to be able to explain to consumers why a decision was made, which is only possible if they understand how the model comes to its conclusions.  There's a real potential for growth if you can create and deploy explainable ML models. In addition to offering a more predictive output, ML models can incorporate alternative credit data* (also known as expanded FCRA-regulated data) and score more consumers than traditional risk models. As a result, the explainable ML models could increase financial inclusion and allow you to expand your lending universe.  READ MORE: Raising the AI Bar  How can you implement ML model explainability?  Navigating the trade-off and worries about explainability can keep financial institutions from deploying ML models. As of early 2023, only 14 percent of banks and 19 percent of credit unions have deployed ML models. Over a third (35 percent) list explainability of machine learning models as one of the main barriers to adopting ML.5  Although a cautious approach is understandable and advisable, there are various ways to tackle the explainability problem. One major differentiator is whether you build explainability into the model or try to explain it post hoc—after it's trained.  Using post hoc explainability  Complex ML models are, by their nature, not self-explanatory. However, several post hoc explainability techniques are model agnostic (they don't depend on the model being analyzed) and they don't require model developers to add specific constraints during training.  Shapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) is one used approach. It can help you understand the average marginal contribution features to an output. For instance, how much each feature (input) affected the resulting credit score.  The analysis can be time-consuming and expensive, but it works with black box models even if you only know the inputs and outputs. You can also use the Shapley values for local explanations, and then extrapolate the results for a global explanation.  Other post hoc approaches also might help shine a light into a black box model, including partial dependence plots and local interpretable model-agnostic explanations (LIME).  READ MORE: Getting AI-driven decisioning right in financial services  Build explainability into model development  Post hoc explainability techniques have limitations and might not be sufficient to address some regulators' explainability and transparency concerns.6 Alternatively, you can try to build explainability into your models. Although you might give up some predictive power, the approach can be a safer option.  For instance, you can identify features that could potentially lead to biased outcomes and limit their influence on the model. You can also compare the explainability of various ML-based models to see which may be more or less inherently explainable. For example, gradient boosting machines (GBMs) may be preferable to neural networks for this reason.7  You can also use ML to blend traditional and alternative credit data, which may provide a significant lift — around 60 to 70 percent compared to traditional scorecards — while maintaining explainability.8  READ MORE: Journey of an ML Model  How Experian can help  As a leader in machine learning and analytics, Experian partners with financial institutions to create, test, validate, deploy and monitor ML-driven models. Learn how you can build explainable ML-powered models using credit bureau, alternative credit, third-party and proprietary data. And monitor all your ML models with a web-based platform that helps you track performance, improve drift and prepare for compliance and audit requests. *When we refer to “Alternative Credit Data," this refers to the use of alternative data and its appropriate use in consumer credit lending decisions, as regulated by the Fair Credit Reporting Act. Hence, the term “Expanded FCRA Data" may also apply and can be used interchangeably.  1-3. FinRegLab (2021). The Use of Machine Learning for Credit Underwriting  4. Experian (2022). Explainability: ML and AI in credit decisioning  5. Experian (2023). Finding the Lending Diamonds in the Rough  6. FinRegLab (2021). The Use of Machine Learning for Credit Underwriting  7. Experian (2022). Explainability: ML and AI in credit decisioning  8. Experian (2023). Raising the AI Bar 

While today’s consumers expect a smooth, frictionless digital experience, many financial institutions still rely on outdated technology and manual reviews to acquire new customers. These old processes can prevent lenders from making accurate and timely credit decisions, leading to lost opportunities, revenue, and goodwill. By optimizing their customer acquisition strategies, financial institutions can allocate their resources effectively and say yes to consumers faster. This guide will walk you through the current challenges facing customer acquisition and how robust optimization strategies can help. Current challenges in customer acquisition To stay competitive and engage high-value customers, you’ll need an efficient customer acquisition process that weeds out both fraudulent actors and risky consumers. However, achieving this balancing act comes with a unique set of challenges. Because today’s consumers can access goods and services almost anywhere online at any time, more than 54 percent of customers expect a heightened digital and frictionless experience. Failing to meet this expectation can lead to huge losses for lenders. Some of the most common challenges in customer acquisition include: Although 52 percent of consumers prefer digital banking options over visiting branches in person, many lenders still rely on paper documents, which can add weeks to the onboarding process. Requiring consumers to provide substantial information about themselves during an application process can lead to abandoned applications. 67 percent of consumers will leave an application if they experience complications. Verifying consumer identities is growing increasingly important. In fact, about 35 percent of customers drop out of digital onboarding because their identity can't be confirmed. Poorly defined campaign planning can cause businesses to market to the wrong population segments, resulting in wasted time and resources. What is optimization for customer acquisition?  Customer acquisition optimization is the process of implementing new methods and solutions to make acquiring new customers more efficient and cost-effective. For lenders, this means streamlining steps in the credit decisioning process to focus on the right prospects and reduce friction. What types of processes can be optimized for customer acquisition?  You might be surprised just how many processes can be optimized for customer acquisition. Here are just a few examples: Having a holistic view of consumers allows you to take the guesswork out of targeting so you can better identify and engage high-potential customers. Utilizing predictive and lifestyle data enables you to pinpoint a more precisely segmented audience for marketing. Digital application solutions that reach across multiple channels, allowing applicants to leave one channel and pick up right where they left off in another. Real-time identity verification and fraud detection during onboarding and after, helping expedite approvals and mitigate risks. Utilizing API integration to leverage multiple metrics beyond credit scores when screening applicants' financial situation. Building custom risk models that pair to your existing data so you can say yes to more customers and better manage portfolio risk. Benefits of customer acquisition optimization Optimization can bring numerous benefits to your business, providing a faster return on investment. Here are some examples. By better pinpointing your marketing through predictive and lifestyle data, you can achieve increased conversions. Faster onboarding with less friction helps retain more customers. Real-time fraud detection and identity verification reduce customer roadblocks, allowing you to realize significant growth. Custom risk models and decisioning platforms can pair your data with additional data elements, providing more than just a credit score rating for your applicants. This can help you say yes to more customers. Using AI and machine learning tools will reduce the need for manual reviews and thus increase booking rates and applications. A real-life example of these benefits can be found with the Michigan State University Federal Credit Union (MSUFCU.) With over $7.2 billion in assets and 330,000 members, the client was manually reviewing all its applications. Experian reviewed the client's risk levels and approvals, comparing their risk and bankruptcy scores to determine which were most predictive. This analysis led Experian to recommend a new decisioning platform (PowerCurve Originations®) for instant credit decisions, an alternative data score tool, and Experian Advisory Services for risk-based pricing. After implementing these optimization solutions, MSUFCU saw a 55 percent increase in average monthly automations, four times improved online application response time and began competing more effectively in the marketplace. How Experian can help Experian offers a number of customer acquisition tools, allowing companies to be more responsive in an increasingly competitive market, while still reducing fraud risk. These tools include: Acquisition optimization marketing Experian offers a web-based platform that lets clients manage their marketing efforts all in the same place. You can upload and enhance client files, identify lookalike prospects, and use firmographic and credit data to get a holistic view of your clients and your prospects. Data-driven acquisition and decisioning engine PowerCurve Originations® is a data-driven decisioning engine that accepts applications from multiple channels, automates data collection and verification and proactively monitors decision results. It's flexible enough to reach across multiple channels, letting customers set aside their application in one digital channel and resume where they left off in another. It also provides businesses with access to comprehensive data assets, proactive monitoring and streamlined development with minimal coding. Enhanced fraud detection and identity verification Experian's Precise ID® is a risk-based fraud detection and prevention platform that provides analytics to accurately verify customers and mitigate fraud loss behind the scenes, ensuring a smoother onboarding process. Robust consumer attributes for better customized models Experian gives clients access to a wider berth of consumer attributes, helping you better screen applicants beyond just looking at credit scores. Trended 3DTM attributes let you uncover unique patterns in consumers' behavior over time, allowing you to manage portfolio risk, build better models and determine the next best actions. Premier AttributesSM aggregates credit data at the most granular and meaningful levels to provide clear insights into consumer credit behavior. It encompasses more than 2,100 attributes across 51 industries to help you develop highly predictive custom models. Enterprise-wide credit decisioning engine Experian's enterprise-wide credit decision platform lets you combine machine learning with proprietary data to return optimized decisions and quickly respond to requests. Robust credit decisioning software lets you convert data into meaningful actions and strategies. With Experian's machine learning decisioning options, companies are realizing a 25 percent reduction in manual reviews, a 25 percent increase in loan and credit applications and a 26 percent increase in booking rates. Highly predictive custom models Experian's Ascend Intelligence ServicesTM can help you create highly predictive custom models that create sophisticated decisioning strategies, allowing you to accurately predict risk and make the best decisions fast. This end-to-end suite of solutions lets you achieve a more granular view of every application and grow portfolios while still minimizing risk. Experian can help optimize your customer acquisition Experian provides a suite of decisioning engines, consumer attributes and customized modeling to help you optimize your customer acquisition process. These tools allow businesses to better target their marketing efforts, streamline their onboarding with less friction and improve their fraud detection and mitigation efforts. The combination can deliver a powerful ROI. Learn more about Experian's customer acquisition solutions. Learn more

In today's fast-paced digital world, the risk of fraud across all industries is a constant threat. The traditional methods of fraud detection are no longer sufficient, as fraudsters become increasingly sophisticated in their attacks. However, with artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) solutions, financial institutions can stay one step ahead of fraudsters. AI and machine learning-equipped fraud detection tools have the ability to identify suspicious activity and patterns of fraud that are imperceptible to the human brain. In this blog post, we’ll dive into the significance of AI and machine learning in fraud detection and how these solutions are uniquely equipped to handle the demands of modern-day risk management. Understanding artificial intelligence and machine learning AI and machine learning solutions are transformative technologies that are reshaping the landscape of many industries. AI, at its core, is a field of computer science that simulates human intelligence in machines, enabling them to learn from experience and perform tasks that normally require human intellect. Machine learning, a subset of AI, is the science of getting computers to learn and act like humans do, but with minimal human intervention. They can analyze vast amounts of data within seconds, identifying patterns and trends that would be impossible for a human to recognize. When it comes to fraud detection, this ability is invaluable.  Advantages of fraud detection using machine learning AI and machine learning have several benefits that make them valuable in fraud detection. One significant advantage is that these technologies can recognize patterns that are too complex for humans to identify. By running through a vast set of data points, these solutions can pinpoint anomalous behavior, and thereby prevent financial losses. AI analytics tools are adept at monitoring complex networks, detecting the dispersion of attacks that may involve multiple individuals and entities, and correlating activity patterns that would otherwise be hidden. Machine learning algorithms can take these patterns and turn them into mathematical models that help identify instances of fraud before the damage takes place. Secondly, they continuously learn from new data, which allows them to become more efficient in identifying fraud as they process more data. Thirdly, they automate fraud mitigation processes, which significantly reduces the need for manual interventions that may consume valuable time and resources. Another significant benefit of machine learning is its analytics capabilities, which allow organizations to gain valuable insights into customer behavior and fraud patterns. With AI analytics, they can detect and investigate fraudulent activities in real-time, and combine it with other tools to help detect and mitigate fraud risk. For example, in financial services, AI fraud detection can help banks and financial service providers detect and prevent fraud in their systems, add value to their services and improve customer satisfaction. The future of fraud detection and machine learning The rate at which technology is evolving means that machine learning and AI fraud detection will become increasingly important in the future. In the next few years, we can expect a more sophisticated level of fraud detection using unmanned machine systems, robotics process automation, and more. Ultimately, this will improve the efficiency and effectiveness of fraud detection.AI-based fraud management solutions are taking center stage. Organizations must leverage advanced machine learning and AI analytics solutions to prevent and mitigate cyber risks and comply with regulatory mandates. The benefits extend far beyond the financial bottom line to improving the safety and security of customers. AI and machine learning solutions offer accurate, efficient and proactive routes to managing the risk of fraud in an ever-changing environment. How can Experian® help Integrating machine learning for fraud detection represents a significant advancement in cybersecurity. Fraud management solutions detect, prevent and manage fraud across all industries, including financial services, healthcare and telecommunications. With the advancement of technology, fraud management solutions now integrate machine learning to improve their processes. Experian® provides fraud prevention solutions, including machine learning models and AI analytics, which can help more effectively mitigate fraud risk, streamline fraud investigations and create a more secure digital environment for all. With Experian’s AI analytics, risk mitigation tools and fraud management solutions, organizations can stay one step ahead of fraudsters and protect their brand reputation, customer trustworthiness and corporate data. Embracing these solutions can save organizations from significant losses, reputational damage and regulatory scrutiny. To learn more about how to future-proof your business and safeguard your customers from fraud, check out Experian’s robust suite of fraud prevention solutions. Want to hear what our industry experts think? Check out this on-demand webinar on artificial intelligence and machine learning strategies. *This article includes content created by an AI language model and is intended to provide general information.