Market Trends

According to a recent Experian analysis of Q2 2013 bankcard trends, bankcard origination volumes increased 21% year-over-year equating to a $12 billion increase in new bankcard limits. The increase was largely driven by the prime and near-prime segments which made up the majority of the $12 billion increase. Download our recent Webinar: It's a new reality...and time for a new risk score.

According to data from Experian's IntelliViewSM, Iowa residents carry the lowest average credit card balance per consumer in the U.S. with an average balance of $2,904, as of the second quarter of 2013. On the other end of the spectrum, the state with the highest average credit card balance is Alaska, where residents carry an average credit card balance of $4,706. New Jersey citizens are close behind with an average balance of $4,523.

After reaching post-recession lows in June, the July S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices showed that default rates increased slightly in several categories. While the national composite,* first mortgage and auto loan default rates all increased, the bankcard default rate continued to decline and hit a new low of 3.22%.

Small-business credit conditions strengthened in Q2 2013, lifting the Experian/Moody's Analytics Small Business Credit Index 2.8 points to 111.7 - the highest level since it began tracking. Consumer spending growth was modest, but steady and consumer confidence is at multiyear highs. This is a reassuring signal that consumer spending is unlikely to backtrack in the near future. Furthermore, credit quality improved for every business size, with the total share of delinquent dollars 2.4 percentage points lower than a year ago and at the lowest point on record.

According to a recent survey by freecreditscore.com™, women find financial responsibility more attractive in assessing a romantic partner (96 percent) than physical attractiveness (87 percent) or career ambition (87 percent). Men slightly favor good looks over financial responsibility (92 percent versus 91 percent); however, 20 percent of men surveyed would not marry someone with a poor credit score.

The average bankcard balance per consumer in Q2 2013 was $3,831, a 1.3 percent decline from the previous year. Consumers in the VantageScore® near prime and subprime credit tiers carried the largest average bankcard balances at $5,883 and $5,903 respectively. The super prime tier carried the smallest average balance at $1,881.

Using data from IntelliViewSM, Credit.com recently compiled a list of states with the highest average bankcard utilization rates. Alaska took first place, with an average utilization ratio of 27.73 percent. This should come as no surprise since Alaska has recently topped lists for highest credit card balances and highest revolving debt.

Small-business credit conditions improved in Q1 2013, reversing much of the deterioration seen during Q4 2012. The Q1 rise was fueled primarily by falling delinquency rates in every segment compared with a year earlier. The total share of delinquent dollars was 11.2 percent for Q1 2013 - 1.4 percentage points lower than a year ago.

A recent Experian credit trends analysis of new mortgages and bankcards from Q1 2013 shows a 16 percent year-over-year increase in mortgage origination volume and a 20 percent increase in bankcard limits. Providing further evidence of continued economic recovery throughout the nation, mortgage delinquency rates reached multi-year lows and bankcard delinquency rates reached near-record lows.

A recent study comparing financial differences between men and women found that, overall, women are better at managing money and debt. Differences between the two populations include:

Financial institutions are revisiting their policies and thresholds for lending to small businesses and are slowly loosening restrictions. In a recent survey by the Federal Reserve Board, 9.2 percent of senior loan officers said they have "somewhat" eased their standards for lending to small firms and provided commercial borrowers more leeway, in the form of slightly bigger credit lines and longer maturity terms.

A recent survey that polled Americans on credit scores found that while nearly half of respondents (49 percent) check their credit scores at least once per year, the rest check once every two years or less, including a worrisome 22 percent who never check. The most common reasons for checking a credit score include purchasing a home (31 percent) or an automobile (32 percent).

VantageScore Solutions’ analysts recently examined how many accounts consumers with prime credit scores typically have in their credit file. Consumers who generally qualify for loans have an average of 13 loans in their credit files, and typically the oldest loan is more than 15 years old.

While VantageScore® credit score super-prime consumers carried the lowest average credit card balance of all credit tiers in Q4 2012 ($2,581), this group experienced the greatest average balance increase (6 percent) when compared with the previous quarter. All other credit tiers had little or no change to their average credit card balance.

Using a more inclusive scoring model such as the new VantageScore® 3.0, lenders can score up to 30 million consumers who are labeled "unscoreable" by traditional models. Nearly 25 percent of these consumers are prime or near-prime credit quality.