Market Trends
Not surprisingly, bankcard utilization is the highest among subprime consumers with VantageScore D and F tiers having average bankcard utilization rates of 68% and 81% respectively. In comparison, VantageScore A tier (super prime) consumers had an average bankcard utilization rate of 6% and VantageScore B tier (prime) consumers had an average bankcard utilization rate of 15%. Join our panel of experts on October 23 to hear from industry experts on key regulations that are changing the way banks need to conduct business in order to grow and stay profitable. Source: Experian Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Reports.
The August 2012 edition of the S&P/Experian Consumer Credit Default Indices showed that bankcard, first-mortgage and second-mortgage default rates hit new post recession lows. The first mortgage default rate decreased slightly, from 1.41 percent in July to 1.40 percent in August, and has been down or flat for eight consecutive months. The second-mortgage default rate fell to the lowest in its eight-plus-year history, reaching 0.72 percent. Bankcard default rates fell the most in August, from July's 3.83 percent to 3.77 percent, the lowest rate in five years. Source: Press release: Consumer Credit Default Rates Remain Near Recent Lows in August 2012.
In Experian's recent State of Credit study which analyzes credit scores in more than 100 cities, Minneapolis took the number one spot, with an average VantageScore® credit score of 787. The Midwest dominated the top 10 spots in the rankings and Wisconsin consumers continue to demonstrate their credit savvy, with four of the state's metropolitan areas making the top 10 list for the second year in a row. Top 10 highest average credit scores by city VantageScore® credit score rank City State Average VantageScore® credit score 1 Minneapolis MN 787 2 Madison WI 786 3 Wausau WI 785 4 Sioux Falls SD 784 5 Cedar Rapids IA 783 6 San Francisco CA 783 7 Green Bay WI 781 8 La Crosse WI 779 9 Boston MA 778 10 Duluth MN 777 View an interactive map and read the complete results of the State of Credit 2012 study. Source: Experian's State of Credit 2012 study VantageScore® is owned by VantageScore Solutions, LLC.
The average bankcard balance per consumer in Q2 2012 was $4,170, which is 4 percent higher when compared to the same quarter of the previous year. VantageScore A and VantageScore B tiers (super prime and prime) saw bankcard balances increase by 31 percent and 11 percent respectively, while all other VantageScore® tiers experienced annual balance decreases during the same timeframe. Listen to our recorded Webinar on consumer credit trends from the Q2 2012 Market Intelligence Reports, including bankcard trends and an in-depth look at the current state of the U.S. real estate market. Source: Experian Oliver-Wyman Market Intelligence Reports VantageScore® is owned by VantageScore Solutions, LLC.
The Experian/Moody's Analytics Small Business Credit Index edged up 0.9 points in Q2 2012, to 104.1 from 103.2. High-level findings from the Q2 report show that credit quality will be slow to improve in coming months, and threats to consumer confidence and spending have become more prominent. Business confidence is in line with an economy growing below potential. This factor could affect hiring through the rest of the year, postponing the emergence of a strong, consumer-led recovery. Download the entire report on Small Business Credit. Source: Experian press release—Aug 7, 2012: Small-business credit conditions slightly improve as economy shows signs of stalling
The pressures for both credit unions and banks, to generate returns to drive greater earnings are ever present. According to recent data released by the National Credit Union Administration, the nation's 7,019 federally-insured credit unions added 667,000 new members in the first quarter of 2012 to a record of 92.5 million. To offset these pressures, portfolio managers are aggressively expanding their policies and practices to drill more deeply and frequently into their portfolios. Increasingly, this requires the ability to trend consumer credit data, identify specific member metrics, and track those changes over time. Redefining the information your portfolios provide can by key to developing increased ROI. Learn how trended data can help you maximize your strategies and process to produce results in today's complex business environments. Source: How to drill deeper into your portfolio
The cumulative effect of Basel III is expected to have a substantial impact on capital requirements. The total minimum regulatory capital will increase from 8 percent to 10.5 percent. For institutions that are considered "systematically important," an additional holding requirement may be imposed of up to 3.5 percent. Download our white paper to learn more about how your peers are reacting to Basel III and how Experian can help banks to optimize risk-weighted assets. Source: Creating value in challenging times: An innovative approach to Basel III compliance by Experian's Global Consulting Practice
A recent survey of 1,000 representative American consumers showed that while 78 percent of respondents are aware that they have more than one credit score, some key misperceptions remain: • Fewer than half (44 percent) understand that a credit score typically measures risk of not repaying loans rather than amount of debt (22 percent), financial resources (21 percent) or other factors. • More than half still think that a person's age (56 percent) and marital status (54 percent) are factors used to calculate credit scores, and 21 percent incorrectly believe that ethnic origin is a factor. Click here to get the facts on the types of credit scores and what influences them. Source: VantageScore® press release, May 2012. VantageScore® is owned by VantageScore Solutions, LLC.
The dramatic transformation of the financial services industry requires new advances and innovation in credit strategies to respond to the growing number of underbanked customers who need to be served. The underbanked, or unbanked, market now represents nearly 64 million U.S. consumers who have limited or no traditional credit history. Take a quiz now to test your knowledge of America's underbanked. Source: Experian News, May 2012
Year over year retail spend continues to trend up, translating into Bankcard balance growth and new originations. New Bankcard volumes (limits) came in at $59 billion in Q4 2011 – a 52 percent increase over the previous year. Register now for our upcoming credit trends webinar. Source: Experian Infographic: Bankcard and Retail Spending Trends.
The average turnaround time to make a lending decision varies materially between financial institutions. Institutions with low-level automation are typically less competitive on price due to the higher cost of manual reviews. For customers, it leads to high levels of dissatisfaction, complaints and switching of institutions. To learn more practical insights and best practices for key areas of business banking and to look at the features of a leading-edge approach to customer management, download the full white paper. Source: Strategic customer management for business banking portfolios by Experian's Global Consulting Practice.
As part of its expanded guidance, the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency explicitly recommends that financial services firms utilizing predictive models and decision analytics run regular validations to gauge model efficacy. The VantageScore® credit score model was recently measured against the best credit score models from each of the three largest credit reporting companies (CRCs). When comparing KS values, there is exceptionally strong performance for mortgage originations, with the VantageScore® credit score model outperforming the CRC models in a range from 8 percent to 12 percent. The average range of outperformance is 3 percent to 4 percent across the board for most of the key industries. View the VantageScore® Webinar: Executing Effective Validations in 2011 and Beyond. Source: Executing Effective Validations, American Banker. VantageScore® is owned by VantageScore Solutions, LLC.
A vintage analysis comparing 60 or more days past due (DPD) delinquency performance at the one-year mark for mortgages originated between 2002 and 2010 shows that 2010 outperformed previous years, with a delinquency rate of 0.37 percent. The worst- performing vintage was 2006, with a 60 or more DPD delinquency rate of 3.84 percent – more than 10 times the delinquency rate of 2010. Listen to our recorded Webinar for a detailed look at the current state of strategic default in mortgage and an update on consumer credit trends. Source: Experian-Oliver Wyman Market Intelligence Reports
The average bankcard balance per consumer rose to $4,359 in Q1 2012 – an 8 percent increase from the previous quarter. The increase resulted primarily from balance increases to VantageScore® A and B segments, which increased 31 percent and 11 percent, respectively. Download the latest Experian industry white papers. VantageScore® is owned by VantageScore Solutions, LLC.
The economy is accelerating at a sluggish pace, and world headlines cause business leaders to swing between optimism and pessimism daily. Risk managers must look more closely and much more frequently at their customers' behavior to stay ahead of emerging credit problems. Some tips: Use all customer information when making decisions. Combining both internal and external data can paint a clearer picture of your customers. Identify the customer relationships that have value and should be retained. Apply resources accordingly. Implement daily triggers so you have the latest customer information around bankruptcy, repossession or loan delinquency, as well as positive information such as payments made to other financial institutions. Spend more time examining consumers who are delinquent on their home mortgage payments to determine their behavior on your portfolio. Use next-generation collections software to keep collectors up to date on account-level strategies. Download our white paper on how changes in the economy have impacted consumer credit behavior and what risk managers should analyze in order to determine portfolio strategies. Source: Experian News